SI
Ah… memories!
Remember how they moved the Budget forward so that the timetable for a DD would fit the Constitution?
Remember how important it was to “reform” the Senate so that cross-benchers couldn’t dominate it?
Remember how vital the ABCC bill was? And how the journos told us that this time Turnbull had a sure-fire election issue? Yep, the Great Reckoning of 2016 was going to be on industrial relations: unarguably a Coalition winner.
(This was after the election was also centered on States rights, income tax, education funding, negative gearing, boats, and of course, terrorism. Turnbull had shown us all “how it’s done”).
Remember how “bold”, “brilliant” and “decisive” Turnbull was? Or so we were informed, breathlessly.
The long election campaign was going to do Bill Shorten slowly. He’d run out of steam by the end of it. Not to worry that the Coalition ran out of steam instead, and Turnbull had to chip in $2 million to buy the party the last fortnight’s worth of telly. “Jobs and Growth” hammered at us from all directions, on all channels, day and night and night and day: that did the trick.
They might have used the $4 million the NSW Electoral Commission was withholding, but Baird would have had to say where their real money came from first (and with so many apartments going up all over and above Sydney, and tunnels beneath it, admissions like that might have caused embarrassment in certain circles).
Remember Mediscare? How absolutely ridiculous it was to say that Turnbull intended to hive it off, bit by bit! Another Labor lie! Geez, that’s all they do! Malcolm got the AFP onto them. But even they yawned.
And at last we’d get some sense on Climate Change! Malcolm had already shown in 2009 that he was prepared to die in a ditch for that. He was sure to do it again, just as soon as he finished slagging off South Australian windfarms, and thenVictoria for closing down dirty brown coal.
We were going to have an exciting Innovation Nation. We’d all be writing apps, or something. With the CSIRO now leaner and meaner after mass retrenchments, how could we fail? When asked by Andrew Bolt to name three things that Turnbull had done, Eric Abetz famously answered: “Innovation, Innovation, and Innovation.” That really meant something to Australians.
While it might look like nothing’s fucking happened in the over a year since Turnbull came along to turn this somnolent nation out of it antipodean torpor with pure excitement, that’s wrong. Hartcher told us Malcolm was really doing: “Simply governing”. “Governing’s” not sexy. “Governing’s” not exciting. But “governing” is what brilliant minds like Turnbull’s do best. A tactical thrust here on State income taxes, a feint there on 18C or The Plebiscite. A bold advance by massed union-bashing tanks to crash through a weak Bill Shorten, flattening a Labor party riven with factionalism. Malcolm would show them The Turnbull Method, and it wouldn’t be pretty. Kath Murphy assured us he was holding back the brilliance, all the better to deploy it with devastating effectiveness: once he’d gotten an opportunistic” and “cynical” Shorten out of the way, and dealt with the Monkey Pod in swingeing style.
“Mirror, Mirror on the wall. Malcolm was the fairest, after all.”

Malcolm has so many brilliant things to say at any one time, he occasionally appears to be tongue-tied. But that’s an illusion. He simply has trouble figuring out the very best way of putting {whatever-it-is-he-has-to-say} to the simple folk, the little guys like youse and me, so they can share in the inspiration. The hesitancy and what looks like waffling are Malcolm choosing his words carefully.
And there are so many words! There are enough thoughts, bon mots, insouciances, anecdotes and sheer inspirations inside that pumpkin head of his to keep Australia in words for 300 years. We’ll never run out of ’em. If only we could get the Chinese to buy them all, we’d wake up rich and stay that way!
Now that Australia has a sensible Senate with no crackpots, lurk merchants, incoherents, con men, thieves, sleeve-tuggers, gun nuts, tree clearers, religious cranks, CSIRO bashers, spivs, shonks, homophobes, pedophile obsessives, Hansonites, Trump supporters, refugee tragics, or unelectable slime-bags with less than 100 votes, “simply governing” has become so much easier. Now that Malcolm has his own healthy Reps majority of “1”, and every morning every one of them has to be marked off the roll by Head Prefect Christopher Pyne, can there be any doubt that The People have flocked to his side? Now that Abbott has accepted his lot in life as the Human Doorstop, we’ll have no more aggro from that poisonous little corner, thankyouverymuch. We’ll soon be rid of Gillian Triggs, too. So there.
Now that the Press Gallery’s prediction has come true, and the Ship Of State sails in the right direction, we can get some wonderful, brilliant, exciting things done. Let’s not forget the scribblers were right about Tony Abbott… both times (and all the times in-between). And they were right about Malcolm Turnbull as he dazzled them with charm, brilliance and wit. It’s so so wonderful to have a policy-driven 4th Estate that eschews the temptations of ball-by-ball politics, governance as a horse race and rank partisanship in political coverage, not to say their utter rejection of hero worship. No “Labor Split!” click bait for them! Most of all it’s wonderful to have a press corps that is never wrong, by its own modest (and frequent) admission.
Malcolm is setting us up. He’s getting his ducks all in a row so he can shoot them down with one brilliant bullet. He’s feigning weakness to lull his enemies into a false sense of security. Then he’ll Strike. Etc.Etc.
Pity his enemies now appear to have been those with whom he once travelled in fellowship: gays, Climate scientists, alternative energizers, the Jews in his electorate, IT professionals, human rights advocates and leather coat manufacturers (by the way, what did happen to the leather coats?). More fool them. They fell for Malcolm, hook line and sinker. The only ones who’ve stuck with him are the Gallery and Lucy. Even the cat has left the building.
Any day now we’ll see the Master Plan, from The Master Planner.
- We’ll learn how Malcolm’s NBN is the best in the world.
- How Teh Evil Unions have been doubling construction costs so that Bob Day can not pay them even more than he not paid them before. Bludgers.
- Why 18C is threatening the very fabric of our society.
- How reducing pensions will toughen up octogenarians and make them more self-reliant.
- We’ll be ahead of the World in emissions reduction (what am I saying? We’re already out in front! Greg Hunt’s job is done, and he’s done a real job on the environment, that’s for sure).
- The gulaged in Nauru and Manus will shout with joy as “humanity breaks out” (Kath has a such a way with words, doesn’t she?).
- Gays and lesbians will fall in love with him all over again, after a peaceful, tender, informed Plebiscite debate has blessed their unions with the traditional generosity towards sexual matters commonly found in key sections of Catholic Church, the Anglicans, the Salvos, the Marists and the Yeshivas, all of whom suffered the little children to be brought to them. And boy, did the little children suffer! The $7.5 million funding to be given out to spread this calming gospel is worth every cent, but only Malcolm Turnbull saw that. After all, the Plebiscite was an election promise, and the Coalition never breaks election promises. Some things remain sacred. Even when Tony Abbott thought of them first. That’s why Malcolm got rid of him. If Labor forces Malcolm to go back on his word (but not, funnily enough, on theirs), you can bet he’ll tell us “They broke a nation’s heart”.
All Malcolm needs now is for the “opportunistic” Opposition to stop Opposing. That’s so 2009, 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, 2014 and 2015 (and in the last three they weren’t even the Opposition!). Even Tony agrees. And for the Senate to stop obstructing. And (I nearly forgot) for Tony Abbott to give up the guerilla warfare habits and backstabbing proclivities of a lifetime. Should be easy. The course ahead will then be clear to all, not just the political savants in the Press Gallery. Just all of them stop disagreeing with Malcolm for Chrissake!
Sleepers wake! Our never-been-so-exciting time in the sun is upon us! Certainty has triumphed over brutishness. Civilization over anarchy. We’re playing by Point Piper Rules now. Watch – and weep, doubters – as the well-oiled wheels turn.
Malcolm, the Renaissance Man, is still on his way, but will arriving any day now. When he does, at least there’ll be no need for this type of unpleasantness…

http://www.wsws.org/en/articles/2016/11/08/nato-n08.html
One good thing for Australia might come out of Trump’s election.
Trump doesn’t want the TPP. Neither do we, if we have a brain.
Obama is going to try to push through approval of the TPP during the ‘lame duck’ period before Trump’s inauguration. I hope he fails at that.
Jaeger
Check out these maps. The stereotyping of Trump voters as dumb po’ white folk not so accurate.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/2016-election-results/us-presidential-race/
I don’t mind that Clinton didn’t give a speech, mainly because Trump is probably going to put her on a show trial and probably have her executed.
Trump and surrogates don’t care about the rule of law. It’s dead in America, and it will not come back.
Kirsdarke
Read some of the works of the great J.K. Galbraith and the post WWII establishment of the welfare state. The 0.01% have ensured their own destruction by ignoring the lessons learned .
Unfortunately Hilary hubby Bill played a big part in the unlearning with his part in neutering the Glass Steagel act. Esoteric at the time to me but what was warned about at the time has come to pass.
Remember when people thought Assange was some sort of hero? (Well, some people, anyway.)
I hope this grub spends the rest of his days in the embassy! If he was prepared to face the wrath of his accusers like he demands of others I could cop him. To me he’s a spineless prick who’s gutless
I doubt now that a new broom has been elected Assange problems will go away and nor should they!
Let him rot!
Kaffeeklatscher,
Thereby lighting the match that sputtered along the fuse to the GFC.
Yep. It was , as I said, all esoteric to me at the time but as the GFC shite started to unfold all those prophesies came to mind.
Something else Bill did was introduce welfare “reform” . Reform in its purist Coalition meaning of the word. Totally screwing the poor. He put a time limit on getting it and at the time much press about “Welfare Queens” sound familiar ? During Slick Willie’s time black American imprisoned went up 150% and Bill booted along the private prison industrial complex.
Michael Moore was on the money when he called Bill the best republican president we ever had. A doppelganger of Tony @!#E#@#$$% Blair who did as Maggie T said , things they did not dare to.
I’m happy to compromise: Jesus can crucify “Little Fingers”.
It’s looking increasingly likely that, despite winning the election, Trump will not win the popular vote.
https://www.rt.com/news/365966-putin-trump-congratulates-victory/
Something is kind of fishy about this election. The turnout in the rustbelt cities (Milwaukee, Detroit, Pittsburgh, Philadelphia) seems to be quite low compared to the 2012 election.
Were people impeded from voting? Or did they just not turn up? If the former, then that’s very serious.
Looks like they just didn’t bother turning up.
Aerchie’s take on the American election:
Yes, just what I thought.
I see. I’d be interested to know if there were armed Trump supporters skulking around polling places in the African-American neighborhoods in those cities, but that much of a drop is probably responsible for what happened.
I think a lot of people just didn’t want to vote for either candidate. Republicans didn’t like Trump, Democrats didn’t like Hillary, so they just opted out.
What was the breakdown of non-voters?
You don’t need creepy gun nuts at polling places if “voter suppression starts at home”.
I found this on tumblr and it made me feel a little bit better.
Australia has it’s own basket of deplorables. Check out the “people” that were there. They have been oppressed even when they carry megaphones with them because of their job.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/09/weve-been-oppressed-australian-mates-of-trump-share-his-finest-hour
Don’t Mourn, Fight Like Hell
http://www.motherjones.com/politics/2016/11/election-hate-trump-president-racism
Good morning Dawn Patrollers. What can one say?
Not unexpectedly the Patrol is dominated by the Trump victory.
I urge you to watch this short video.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2016/11/09/cnns-van-jones-perfectly-explains-the-pain-of-a-donald-trump-vi/?utm_hp_ref=au-homepage
How Donald Trump pulled off an upset of cataclysmic, historic proportions.
http://www.smh.com.au/world/us-election/how-donald-trump-pulled-off-an-upset-of-cataclysmic-historic-proportions-20161109-gslsmh.html
Kristina Keneally explores who is to blame for America electing its first megalomaniac, celebrity president. She casts the net very widely – and accurately.
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/nov/09/whos-to-blame-for-americas-first-megalomaniac-celebrity-president
Laura Tingle tells us that Australian politics too will be transformed by the Trump victory. Google.
/news/world/us-election/us-election-experts-see-trump-killing-malcolm-turnbulls-trade-deal-20161109-gsllkh
How did the polls and the media get it so wrong?
http://www.theage.com.au/world/us-election-2016-how-the-pundits-misread-americas-complex-pulse-20161109-gsll7f.html
Peter Hartcher wonders what Trump will do to alliances.
http://www.theage.com.au/world/us-election/us-election-what-values-do-we-share-with-donald-trumps-america-20161109-gslkgl.html
A sober assessment of the Trump victory by Paul McGeough.
http://www.smh.com.au/world/us-election/us-election-2016-presidential-election-results-20161108-gsl4r8.html
Peter Martin is less circumspect, saying the Trump victory will be disastrous for Australia.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/the-consequences-of-a-donald-trump-win-are-disastrous-for-the-australian-economy-20161108-gsl5dj.html
The right wingers in Australian politics celebrate Trump’s win.
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/nov/09/make-australia-great-again-rightwing-mps-delight-in-likely-trump-presidency
But Chris Johnson says that Trump was not the choice of most Australian politicians.
http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2016/11/09/us-election-2016-trump-australian-politicians/
The SMH editorial laments that American voters were so pissed off that they ignored the risks of voting for Trump.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/smh-editorial/fear-of-a-trump-planet-20161108-gsl4wg.html
Section 2 . . .
The best of the social media meltdown.
http://www.smh.com.au/world/us-election-2016-social-media-reacts-to-donald-trumps-win-20161109-gslpk3.html
Mark Kenny tells us we have just witnessed the Second American Revolution.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/second-american-revolution-world-gulps-as-americans-opt-for-fateful-choice-20161109-gslhb4.html
Paul Kelly sums it up as a victory against the US Establishment and that it will demand a “processing of disbelief. Google.
/in-depth/us-politics/us-election-trump-victory-marks-revolt-against-establishment/news-story/4677a6f67e0b20938344fb3b1af8c741
Michael Pascoe writes that this is the day Australia got its independence and that it’s time for us to grow up.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/comment-and-analysis/us-election-2016-trumps-victory-should-bring-australias-independence-20161109-gslps5.html
“America, it’s been nice knowing you!” says Andrew McLeod.
http://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2016/11/09/us-election-2016-goodbye-america/
Look at Turnbull’s comment on the Trump victory and tell me he was sincere. Come on, I dare you.
http://www.smh.com.au/video/video-news/video-federal-politics/turnbull-pledges-confidence-in-trump-presidency-20161109-4mync.html
Mark Kenny with reaction from Canberra.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/donald-trumps-triumph-rocks-canberra-20161109-gslqi2.html
Michael Koziol writes that Australians have mocked Trump and now we have to work with him.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/barking-mad-dropkick-australian-politicians-slammed-donald-trump-now-they-have-to-work-with-him-20161109-gslec2.html
Will the Trump victory empower the racists?
https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2016/nov/09/racists-us-muslims-donald-trump-victory‘
This should answer that question!
http://www.huffingtonpost.com.au/2016/11/09/ex-kkk-leader-david-duke-celebrates-donald-trumps-election-nigh/?utm_hp_ref=au-homepage
Section 3 . . .
Wendy Squires on the day America broke her heart as a woman.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/i-am-woman-hear-me-sob-20161109-gslkov.html
What to expect from Trump’s first 100 days of presidency. Google.
/news/world/donald-trumps-first-100-days-as-president-will-be/news-story/42db723829617e3e525a2e74f369f68a
Nothing can be ruled out in a Trump presidency.
https://theconversation.com/trump-the-demagogue-looks-set-to-rule-68502
The Americans have Brexited, leaving behind their global dominance.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/donald-trumps-victory-has-made-a-target-of-women-like-me-20161109-gsljbn.html
This lady is wondering how she’ll tell her daughter that America has just voted for a racist. sexist bully.
https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2016/nov/09/donald-trump-president-jessica-valenti-daughter
Scholars from around the world react to the Trump victory.
https://theconversation.com/donald-trump-wins-us-election-scholars-from-around-the-world-react-68282
Trump is facing huge financial challenges.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/donald-trump-facing-huge-economic-changes-20161106-gsj4ee.html
Tony Wright on the day that America became the Jerry Springer Show.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/president-donald-trump-the-day-america-chose-to-become-the-jerry-springer-show-20161109-gslhtf.html
More from Tony Wright where he says that Turnbull is turning to Gillian Triggs to protect his human rights as he is attacked by Kevin Rudd.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-opinion/sketch-malcolm-turnbull-calls-on-gillian-triggs-to-protect-his-human-rights-20161109-gsl73j.html
It looks like it’s the end for Turnbull’s TPP. Google.
/news/world/us-election/us-election-experts-see-trump-killing-malcolm-turnbulls-trade-deal-20161109-gsllkh
In the wake of the Trump victory European stocks in renewable energy nave taken a bath.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/energy/renewable-stocks-fall-on-concern-donald-trump-will-cut-support-for-green-energy-20161109-gslujq.html
Lessons for Australia and what it may not be all that bad. Google.
/news/politics/world/donald-trumps-presidency-lessons-for-australia-and-why-it-might-not-be-all-bad-20161109-gsljfc
Political scientist Andrew O’Neill tells us there is no silver lining in this cloud.
http://www.smh.com.au/comment/us-election-no-silver-lining-for-australia-in-this-cloud-20161109-gslui5.html
Section 4 . . .
The AFR says the US stock market is betting on Trump to cause inflation. Google.
/markets/equity-markets/wall-street-rises-bets-on-donald-trump-inflation-20161109-gslvhp
There’s a big standoff between the government and Labor over the backpacker tax.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/coalition-and-labor-in-standoff-over-backpacker-tax-20161109-gsl7hw.html
Labor accuses the government for breaking a promise to look into the cost of car repairs in the modern age.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/consumer-affairs/federal-government-slammed-for-delaying-review-into-information-sharing-in-car-industry-20161107-gsk8uw.html
Adam Jacobi says that it’s politics everywhere for Turnbull but not a drop of democracy. One to think about.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/turnbull-government-politics-everywhere-but-not-a-drop-of-democracy-,9704
Experts warn women against planning for an early Caesarean section delivery of their child before January 1st.
http://www.smh.com.au/national/health/planning-an-early-caesarean-raises-the-risk-of-developmental-delays-sydney-researchers-find-20161108-gskq7s.html
Mungo MacCallum writes on Turnbull, 18c and boat paranoia.
https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/mungo-maccallum-turnbull-18c-and-boat-paranoia,9703
Dick Smith worries about what the supermarket wars will lead to.
http://www.smh.com.au/business/consumer-affairs/dick-smith-forecasts-the-end-of-traditional-supermarkets-within-a-decade-20161109-gsllyz.html
In a little while I’m off to run a sausage Sizzle at Bunnings. I wonder if I’ll experience this?
https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2016/nov/09/man-who-flew-drone-to-bunnings-sausage-sizzle-hits-snag-with-aviation-watchdog
Section 5 . . . Cartoon Corner
David Rowe has gone troppo over Trump’s election!







David Pope with the genie coming out of the bottle.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/act-news/david-pope-20120214-1t3j0
Simon Letch on the evolution of man.
http://www.smh.com.au/photogallery/federal-politics/cartoons/simon-letch-20090908-ffni.html
This one from Mark Knight is funny.
http://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/opinion/latest-mark-knight-cartoons/image-gallery/3a75151fbab76180dfd2225950ca23da
I visited Iceland a year or so back and still am trying to get my head around the place. It is a must do I believe . We just drove around the main ring road , Highway 1, which you need to allow at least 10-12 days to do.
I was conscious that not having a 4WD and the strict rules on where they can go left a large part of the centre of the island unseen but this site has a number of videos of the area and worth a look.
http://all-geo.org/volcan01010/2014/12/holuhraun-fieldwork-videos/
Mr Deming needs to chat with his production production line staff.
BK
‘The middle one is a chicken pretending to be a chook. 🙂
So why did it happen?
The NYT has an opinion.
How Trump Won the Election According to Exit Polls
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/11/08/us/elections/exit-poll-analysis.html?smid=pl-share
Donald J. Trump won the election by consolidating support from white voters and making unexpected gains with minority groups.
Trump overwhelmingly won votes of whites without college degrees.
Party support shifted dramaticallyat nearly every income level.
Clinton’s support from minorities fell short.
Trump gained among men and barely lost ground with women.
And I’m adding something to their list, Voter apathy. The US had the lowest voter turnout for years.
I’m not buying into the silly ‘voter suppression’ nonsense. I think too many voters were just too apathetic to care, or didn’t like either candidate, or thought ‘my one vote won’t matter’ and just stayed away. Too bored, maybe, too comfortably smug, too disinterested. There are plenty of reasons for not voting and men with guns is not one of them.
This happens here, too. Even with compulsory voting 1.4 million Australians didn’t bother voting this year. That’s almost 10% of eligible voters.The lowest turnout since 1925. We didn’t have any ‘voter suppression’. We just had a lot of lazy, disinterested people who couldn’t be bothered exercising their right to vote. The ‘politics is boring’ mob, the ‘all politicians are the same’ crowd, the ‘my vote won’t make any difference’ abstainers.
http://www.smh.com.au/federal-politics/political-news/election-2016-voter-turnout-lowest-since-compulsory-voting-began-in-1925-20160808-gqnij2.html
So don’t try to use voter suppression as an excuse for an appalling result. Maybe blame the Democratic selectors for choosing the wrong candidate.
It would help though if they didn’t have the election on a Tuesday. Or if they made it a public holiday so more people could organise their time better. There are always options – you can pre-vote of course – but they don’t make it easy to vote and they should make it easy.
You always hear of these massive queues at polling stations in the US – people waiting an hour or more, that sort of thing. It wouldn’t be as much of an issue on the weekend. But combine that with a working day, and non-compulsory voting, and I’m sure a lot of people over there would just find the whole thing unworkable. The very idea that a country might tell its citizens, “Your vote is important, but not important enough for us to do anything to assist you in actually voting” is pretty appalling.
This is interesting.
How Obama Inadvertently Set the Stage for Trump’s Presidency
His healthy job approval ratings masked a deep, widespread dissatisfaction of a country desperate for change.
https://www.nationaljournal.com/s/644817?unlock=L44DCPG8OE9ZJBPZ
A big reason why it hurts so much to see what’s happened in the USA is probably because it’s like watching Julia Gillard being torn down by Tony Abbott and his enablers all over again.
Yes I get it, Clinton wasn’t perfect and neither was Gillard, but jesus she wasn’t the effing monster that these horrible hysterical people keep saying.
Julia Gillard might want to come back home. She and Trump wouldn’t agree.
I agree with Aguirre’s post above.
Even his hair is repulsive. No laughing matter for me.
Aguirre
As I said the other day, it’s time the Yanks moved out of the 18th century.
This election on Tuesday thing is so out-dated.
The vanquished look:
http://www.lefigaro.fr/elections-americaines/2016/11/09/01040-20161109ARTFIG00361-hillary-clinton-offre-ses-services-a-donald-trump.php
Melania Trump, the new “First Lady”.
The French Hanson woman:

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2016/11/09/marine-le-pen-can-win-the-french-presidency-next-year-after-trum/
http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/fintan-o-toole-the-united-hates-of-america-has-raised-its-middle-finger-to-the-world-1.2861122
My first reaction was ‘wow’ as well, but I’ve been having a look at previous elections and those figures aren’t all that surprising. The simple fact of the matter is that Obama inspired a much larger turnout. For his two elections the turnout was 58.2% in 2008 and 54.9% in 2012. This year’s, at 53.1%, is a bit less but not a massive drop. Though it did make all the difference in the end.
It’s clearer when you see the relative votes for each candidate:
REPUBLICAN
2000 – 50, 456, 002
2004 – 62, 040, 610
2008 – 59, 948, 323
2012 – 60, 933, 504
2016 – 59, 611, 551
Voter turnout was very low in 2000. The US was is full gung-ho Iraq War mode in 2004, which probably accounts for the slight upsurge in votes. Aside from that, the Republican support is pretty steady.
DEMOCRAT
2000 – 50, 999, 897
2004 – 59, 028, 444
2008 – 69, 948, 516
2012 – 65, 915, 795
2016 – 59, 813, 991
Look at that Obama boost. He personally carried something like 10 million votes in his first election, and held on to 6 million of them in 2012. His presence mobilised people, no doubt because he was a brilliant orator and he presented a vision. It’s not easy to present a vision when your party is already in power, and especially so when you don’t have the brilliant oratory skills.
There’s a fair argument to say that, for all the narrative we’ve been fed, Republicans just voted Republican as they always do, and Democrats didn’t vote because they weren’t inspired to.
I’ve been wondering whether something like this would happen, ever since I saw that clip of Trump from years ago saying he’d run as a Republican because Republican voters will believe anything.
Celebrity candidate. He knows how the system works. If the object is just to get elected, tell them any old thing they want to hear. Then deny you ever said it. He’s not really all that likely to be a racist president, or to smash everything in sight. He’s a populist. Which is a lot more dangerous, because he’ll leave all that stuff to his party, who would have no compunctions about running a cruel administration. It’s the Cheneys you have to look out for, not the Bushes.
‘It’s the Cheneys you have to look out for, not the Bushes.’
This time it’s Pence. A very nasty character.
Just imagine Trump meeting the Queen …