Wagga Wagga bye-bye election

The Wagga Wagga by-election has reached its conclusion.

Background

In the by-election on 14 December 1957, on the death of Eddie Graham (Labor), Wal Fife (Liberal) won the seat of Wagga Wagga.

The seat was held by the Liberals till 2018. At the 28 March 2015 election, the seat was won by Daryl Maguire with 53.8% first preferences and beating Dan Hayes (Labor) by 62.9% to 37.1% on preferences.

In July 2018, Maguire was drawn into an inquiry by the NSW Independent Commission Against Corruption regarding possible corruption involving the former Canterbury Council, through his association with former councillor Michael Hawatt. It was alleged that Maguire had acted on behalf of a “mega big” Chinese client, asking for help in buying into development-approved projects, in return for a commission from the developer for both himself and Hawatt. As a consequence, Maguire resigned from the Liberal Party, and from his roles as Parliamentary Secretary for the Centenary of ANZAC, Counter Terrorism, Corrections and Veterans. After initially refusing to resign from Parliament, he announced he would do so before its next sitting. Maguire tendered his resignation to the Speaker of the Legislative of Assembly on the afternoon of 3 August 2018.

Writs were issued on 17 August for a by-election on  8 September.

The candidates

At the close of nominations, the candidates, in ballot paper order, were

  • Seb McDonagh (Shooters, Fishers and Farmers)
  • Julia Ham (Liberal)
  • Joe McGirr (Independent)
  • Ray Goodlass (Greens)
  • Tom Arentz (Christian Democratic Party)
  • Paul Funnell (Independent)
  • Dan Hayes (Labor)

The count

The voting system was optional preferential, which is why the total votes decreased as preferences were distributed or exhausted.

Wagga Wagga 2018 by-election preference count.png

Erratum: 844 should be 13443 and 3650 should be 42574

The result

Interesting that Ham held her lead until preferences for Funnell and Hayes were distributed. In the end, McGirr won with a whopping 59.6% to Ham’s 40.4%.

The Liberals’ first preferences dropped from 53.8% to 25.5%; two-party preferred from 62.9% to 40.4%.

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336 thoughts on “Wagga Wagga bye-bye election

  1. Probably just an indication that no one at The Herald Sun reads Crikey. They had to wait until James Ashby gave them an “exclusive” in return for getting to put his own spin on the decision, when they would have found out much earlier if they just read more widely.

  2. Follow-on to earlier posts on the deficit going down because of tougher welfare, and Adam Creighton’s stupid assumptions about older Australians all being “Asset rich”.

  3. https://www.canberratimes.com.au/politics/federal/they-hate-her-emails-show-abc-chairman-told-michelle-guthrie-to-fire-emma-alberici-20180925-p505z4.html

    ‘They hate her’: Emails show ABC chairman told Michelle Guthrie to fire Emma Alberici
    By Michael Koziol & Jennifer Duke
    25 September 2018 — 11:45pm

    ABC chairman Justin Milne told former managing director Michelle Guthrie to sack high-profile presenter Emma Alberici following a complaint from then prime minister Malcolm Turnbull.

    In an extraordinary intervention that underlines the political pressure on Ms Guthrie before she was axed on Monday, Mr Milne appeared to acquiesce to government complaints about “bias” by calling for the chief economics correspondent to be fired because she was damaging the public broadcaster’s standing with Coalition MPs.

    Mr Milne’s comments were contained in an email sent to Ms Guthrie on May 8 and were later circulated to board members in the week before the former Google executive was fired. The chairman was replying to an email from Ms Guthrie that outlined a complaint from Mr Turnbull about Alberici’s political coverage.

    “They [the government] hate her,” Mr Milne said in the email, which was conveyed to Fairfax Media by a source close to the board.

    “We are tarred with her brush. I think it’s simple. Get rid of her. We need to save the ABC – not Emma. There is no guarantee they [the Coalition] will lose the next election.”

  4. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Michael Koziol exposes the difficulty of being an independent ABC.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/they-hate-her-emails-show-abc-chairman-told-michelle-guthrie-to-fire-emma-alberici-20180925-p505z4.html
    Ex ABC heavy Marco Bass writes that Guthrie was staggeringly unqualified for the ABC role. And the prevailing circumstances made it even more difficult for her.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/michelle-guthrie-was-staggeringly-unqualified-for-abc-role-20180925-p505vm.html
    John McDuling explains how the ABC lost its way with digital stupidity.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/how-the-abc-lost-its-way-with-digital-stupidity-20180925-p505v3.html
    Paul Kalina says that the ABC is mired in a crisis that is of its own making.
    https://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/abc-is-mired-in-a-crisis-that-is-of-its-own-making-20180925-p505sz.html
    Here we go. The solicitor who successfully sued Seven Network secretary Amber Harrison, and a top female barrister, have been hired by the ABC’s sacked managing director, Michelle Guthrie.
    https://www.outline.com/JankRc
    The ABC says Michelle Guthrie was sacked as she was a bad fit for broadcasting and new media, especially in the current times of change. Media editor for The Independent Australia, Dr Lee Duffield says the move could end up making democratic life more precarious.
    https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/sacking-of-the-abc-chief-dangerous-times,11930
    The faceless men and women behind the ABC’s sacking of Michelle Guthrie.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/finance-news/2018/09/25/abc-board-michelle-guthrie/
    In an interesting scoop Michael Koziol reports that the architect of the Morrison government’s private school funding “fix” has distanced himself from a $1.2 billion bonus fund for Catholic and independent schools, which was not among the proposals he suggested.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/architect-of-private-school-fix-distances-himself-from-1-2-billion-bonus-fund-20180925-p505wq.html
    Paul Bongiorno reckons Morrison’s perpetual motion is sort of working.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/national/2018/09/24/morrison-perpetual-motion/
    Phil Coorey urges a little caution over the big increase in revenue announced yesterday.
    https://www.outline.com/2qf4Et
    Michelle Grattan examines the economic announcement.
    https://theconversation.com/budget-deficit-comes-in-at-10-1-billion-in-boost-for-early-return-to-surplus-103836
    In a very good article Ross Gittins says that it’s institutional rather than personal corruption that is the bigger problem in Australian politics. He infers that the prevalence of “rent-seeking”, as economists call it, has a pernicious effect on economic policy and thus the economic welfare of Australians.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/what-we-do-and-don-t-know-about-politicians-and-corruption-20180925-p505u6.html
    Richo writes that Morrison the emperor has no clothes.
    https://www.outline.com/MS6KXf
    Jess Irvine goes into why Australians aren’t getting the pay rises that should flow to them as productivity improves.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/why-you-aren-t-getting-a-pay-rise-blame-superstar-companies-20180925-p505um.html
    Adele Ferguson examines the excoriating report on financial institutions released by ASIC yesterday. We have a long way to go before this gets fixed.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/six-years-for-refunds-that-s-how-low-we-are-on-banks-priority-list-20180925-p505xz.html
    And Sarah Danckert explains how the prudential regulator has blasted financial heavyweight IOOF, accusing the company’s management of misleading its board while the board itself was reluctant to tackle governance issues or properly document its meetings.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/banking-and-finance/lax-ioof-management-accused-of-misleading-board-20180925-p505wz.html
    Bank executives should not be allowed to serve on the boards of superannuation funds due to “profound” conflicts of interest, the Australian Institute of Superannuation Trustees says. A goog tit-for-tat play is this.
    https://www.outline.com/t7vNUj
    Senator Rex Patrick wants federal Parliament to move quickly to bring an end to the billions of dollars in commissions that are still being collected by banks and other financial services companies even though a ban on conflicted remuneration was introduced in 2013.
    https://www.outline.com/Rjc5XS
    Kerryn Phelps told Guardian Australia’s politics podcast that Morrison needed to come clean about his intentions before the 20 October contest because “the report is being concealed from the public using cabinet privilege as an excuse”. She certainly has a point!
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/sep/26/kerryn-phelps-urges-pm-to-release-ruddock-religious-freedom-review-before-byelection
    Trump has addressed the UN Assembly and was greeted with laughter at times.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/i-didn-t-expect-that-reaction-trump-s-boasting-provokes-laughter-at-un-20180926-p505zt.html
    Mungo MacCallum tells us about Morrison’s strawberry Muppet show.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/mungo-maccallum-morrison-and-the-strawberry-muppet-show,11928
    In a blast from the past Margo Kingston writes that the voters of Wentworth can present the nation with a gift. She says that electing Phelps would not be a protest vote, but a line-in-the sand liberal vote that would force Morrison to listen to the moderates in his party and reduce the dominant power of the far right faction.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/voters-of-wentworth-can-present-the-nation-with-a-gift-20180925-p505y2.html
    Melissa Browne tells us why we should be scrupulous with the ATO or be snared with data matching.
    https://www.smh.com.au/money/tax/be-scrupulous-with-ato-or-be-snared-with-data-matching-20180925-p505uo.html
    Employers will be forced to justify their decisions to knock back requests for flexible working arrangements under a new clause to be inserted into all modern awards by the Fair Work Commission.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/employers-forced-to-give-detailed-reasons-for-refusing-flexible-work-20180925-p505xr.html
    Why investors should worry about rising US stocks, dollar and bond yields.
    https://www.outline.com/vnrMym
    Nicole Hasham has more info on the GBRF half billion dollar sling and its political objectives.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/secret-papers-detail-great-barrier-reef-foundation-s-costly-pr-strategy-20180925-p505wg.html
    In the wake of China’s crackdown on recycled waste imports, Australia is set to introduce radical new recycling targets. Today the government will announce a new new national packaging targets, including 70 per cent of plastic packaging to be recycled or composted by 2025 and that all packaging will have 30 per cent average recycled content by 2025.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/australia-to-set-national-targets-to-reduce-waste-20180925-p505w5.html
    The SMH editorial looks at the divisions within the NSW Liberal party.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/perrottet-family-drama-shows-liberal-divisions-20180925-p505vp.html
    While some farmers are struggling with the drought, others are seeing their profits increase – and their farms becoming “effectively drought proof” – by practising a type of farming that promotes soil health and biodiversity.
    https://www.commercialrealestate.com.au/news/australian-farmers-driving-up-profits-through-regenerative-agriculture/?utm_campaign=featured-masthead&utm_source=the-age&utm_medium=link
    Corporate sponsorship of academic studies is diverting researchers away from important public health questions and potentially distorting government policy, a new study has found.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/sep/26/corporate-sponsorship-diverts-research-and-distorts-public-policy-report-finds
    The risks of a new Cold War between the US and China are real: here’s why.
    https://theconversation.com/the-risks-of-a-new-cold-war-between-the-us-and-china-are-real-heres-why-103772
    Brett Kavanaugh’s frat boy past is being slowly revealed. He does look a bit creepy.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/kavanaugh-s-memory-of-himself-in-school-is-very-different-than-yearbook-portrayal-20180926-p505zr.html
    No doubt about today’s nomination for “Arsehole of the Week”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/cosby-sentenced-to-prison-designated-sexually-violent-predator-20180926-p505zw.html

    Cartoon Corner

    A typically dark contribution from David Rowe on the Kavanaugh confirmation for the SCOTUS.

    Cathy Wilcox on Morrison’s Australia Day comment.

    Fiona Katauskas puts the boot into Morrison’s private school funding splash.

    Peter Broelman gives Guthrie the red carpet treatment.

    And he looks at Australia Day.

    Paul Zanetti on Morrison’s frantic round of media appearances.

    Glen Le Lievre and The Planet of the Republicans.

    And he pauses for Invasion Day.

    Jon Kudelka with another date proposal.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/c59ff93d7a50916a5c072c7d198ca84e
    A few more in here.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/best-of-fairfax-cartoons-september-26-2018-20180925-h15v30.html

  5. An excellent illustration of the truth behind Cathy Wilcox’s cartoon.

    Native Mounted Police camps, evidence of frontier battles unearthed in Queensland

    Archaeologists have discovered hundreds of paramilitary Native Mounted Police camps across Queensland, shedding light on Australia’s violent frontier history.

    Professor Bryce Barker, an archaeological anthropologist from the University of Southern Queensland, is one of the leaders of a research project investigating the evidence of Native Mounted Police life.

    “Anyone who works with Aboriginal communities in Queensland knows that nearly every Aboriginal community has a massacre narrative,” Professor Barker said.

    Warning: This story contains images of Aboriginal people who are deceased.

    Native Mounted Police camps, set up to support settlers who became engaged in often-violent conflicts with Aboriginal groups resisting European occupation, operated across Queensland from the mid-1800s

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-09-25/archaeologists-discover-hundreds-of-native-mounted-police-camps/10183402

  6. The continually unfolding story of Michelle Guthrie’s sacking seems to be underlining what we’ve known for a long time – the problems at the ABC are at a managerial level, not a journalism level. The pressure all comes from above. That much has been clear at least since Nick Ross’s shoddy treatment. So I guess the latest revelation – the leaked email – shouldn’t surprise us all that much. There had been some indications that Guthrie was taking her role more seriously than anticipated and doing some things that struck me at least as balanced. Not everything, but I couldn’t see much evidence of her hastening the decline of the ABC the way I thought she would. I guess the board didn’t see her as ‘one of them’. And it’s likely that the string of complaints from Fifield and Turnbull lately were a response to Guthrie not doing what she was told enough of the time.

    Insiders and 7:30 make a lot more sense in the light of the board’s attitude. They get to stay on air for as long as they dance to the tune of the Liberals. Those two shows in particular don’t make any pretence at balance or objectivity, much as they claim they do. But at least now we know they’re doing it to survive, not necessarily because they lean that way by nature. Tonightly was taken off air simply because those guys stood up for themselves. I wonder now how whether that was a concession by Guthrie to appease the board.

    Nothing good will happen at the ABC until the board is substantially replaced. The chances of that happening are virtually nil. It’s pretty clear the pressure hasn’t lessened simply because Morrison is not PM, so his attempts to keep at arm’s length from it won’t last long I wouldn’t think.

    • Don’t forget – Milne is there because he is a close friend of Turnbull.

      If Milne demanded Emma Alberici be sacked then he did it not only because of his MYOB connection but also because Turnbull demanded it.

      Milne has a lot of connections.

      As well as Chairman of the ABC board and Chairman of MYOB his other current appointments are –
      Chairman of NetCom Wireless Ltd
      Non Executive Director of NBN Co.
      Non Executive Director of Tabcorp Ltd
      Non Executive Director of ME Bank
      Non Executive Director of SMS Management and Technology
      President of Leichhardt Rowing Club.

    • Australian Shareholders Association is complaining that Milne has breached the workloads consistent with being a competent director or board member. Institutional shareholders will probably push him out

  7. I came in at the end of Jon Faine saying that Emma Alberici had reported that MYOB wasn’t paying its (fair share of) tax.
    Justin Milne is also chair of MYOB
    Justin Milne has demonstrated his inability to protect the editorial independence of ABC
    Milne must go!
    Faine goes at end of this year. No point in listening to ABC after that

  8. It will take Labor a whole term in government to change the ABC board, unless there are sackings and a fortune spent on the resulting legal actions.

    Justin Milne is there until April 2022, by then Labor (should they win the next election) will most likely be in caretaker mode, preparing for an election. Or if Scummo decides to go for an election earlier than May next year Labor will be into their second term or back in opposition.

    The rest of the board is almost as well dug in. The first replacement will be Peter Lewis, an Abbott government appointment, his term ends in October 2019.

    Next in line – Dr Kirstin Ferguson and Donny Walford, both Turnbull appointees, due to end their terms in November 2020.

    After that we have Dr Vanessa Guthrie and Georgie Somerset, both due to finish in February 2011.

    The most recent appointee, Joseph Gersh, won’t be due for replacement until May 2023.

    It’s possible any or all of these people could be reappointed. It’s also possible some or all of them could choose to resign at any time.

    An even bigger worry is the panel that recommends board appointments. There are only four of them and they really decide who will be the options for new board members. A PM wanting to get his or her people onto the board will have to choose the members of this panel very carefully. You might remember Janet Albrechtsen was appointed to this board by a grateful Tony Abbott, her term ended in June last year.

    The current panel comprises Mr Ted Evans AC (Chair), Ms Anne Fulwood, Dr Sally Pitkin and Ms Helen Williams AO.
    https://www.pmc.gov.au/news-centre/pmc/nomination-panel-abc-and-sbs-board-appointments

    Three of the panel members will end their terms early next year, just in time for Scummo to appoint his choice of replacements before the election. Who he will choose is a real worry. An incoming Labor government will have to deal with those choices for three years.

    • I think Liberal governments starting with Howard have taken the gloves off so people expect that an incoming government will sack all high level office holders appointed by previous government

  9. Funny, isn’t it, how Emma Alberici was supposed to be sacked for producing a truthful, well researched piece on tax avoidance while Chris Uhlmann was permitted to spout utter lies about SA’s blackout without any protest whatsoever from the ABC Board or any member of the government. Instead we had dopes on the government front bench quoting him in parliament.

    It all helps prove that Guthrie was sacked because Turnbull didn’t like her and because he and Milne plotted to get rid of her by any means possible, with the willing help of that idiot Fifield.

    Let’s not forget Turnbull’s other triumphs. While he was Abbott’s Minister for Communications he complained in particular about two men.

    Nick Ross – forced to resign in 2014 after criticising Turnbull’s Multi-Technology debacle.
    https://delimiter.com.au/2016/01/14/journo-claims-abc-gagged-his-nbn-coverage/

    Scott MacIntyre, sacked from SBS after Turnbull complained about his allegedly inappropriate comments on Anzac Day.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/sbs-presenter-scott-mcintyre-sacked-over-inappropriate-anzac-day-tweets-20150426-1mtbx8.html

    When you look back on Turnbull’s actions while he was in the communications portfolio, including the funding cuts he approved, you understand he has never really wanted the ABC or SBS.

    http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-11-19/abc-funding-cuts-announced-by-malcolm-turnbull/5902774

    He wanted both organisations to bow down and obey his every command, when they did not he took action to gag them. Same thing with Michelle Guthrie.

    Turnbull cannot handle criticism, he has a foul temper, he likes to take revenge and he believes he is entitled to throw his weight around to get what he wants. Instead of taking a calmer approach to what he imagines is criticism he goes straight for the throat. When it comes to the ABC and SBS that means he demands sackings.

    Turnbull didn’t like Emma Alberici’s work, so he wanted her gone.

    This is also why Turnbull is now so busy leaking and phoning from New York. He wants revenge on the party that kicked him out of the leadership. If he has to destroy the Liberal Party to get that revenge then he will.

  10. What does the acting ABC Managing Director have to say?

    “Nothing to see here, folks, no government interference whatsoever.

    Sounds oddly similar to Scummo’s blather on bullying in the ranks of his government – “Nothing to see here, folks. No bullying whatsoever”.

  11. https://outline.com/mtFTgH

    Also on Scummo’s budget news –
    Scummo makes an arse of himself again by trying to sound cool and once again getting it all wrong. He really needs to stop talking like a fifth-rate advertising salesman and start acting like a prime minister.Someone needs to explain to him the meaning of the word “gravitas” . He has absolutely no clue.

    Surprise budget news no reason to ‘make whoopee’, Morrison says
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2018/sep/26/surprise-budget-news-no-reason-to-make-whoopee-morrison-says

    make whoopee
    An old persons term for sex. Typically used by 60 year olds.
    Back in my day ur grandma and I would make whoopee in the back of a pickup truck at the drive in theatre

    https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=make%20whoopee

    https://www.urbandictionary.com/define.php?term=whoopee

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