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Melbourne cup sweep 2016

melbourne-cup-packages-2016

The 24 Horses are finalized. Barrier draw is done jockeys picked All that needs to be done now is to get “The Pubs” 2016 Melbourne cup sweep going. The first 24 people to ask for a ticket will go into the draw which I will conduct after all places are filled. Entry is free and first prize will be a $50 BWS voucher or similar from your local bottle shop. A form guide is below the sweep if you wish to check out your horses chances  and Last years race is there if you wish to watch Michelle Payne win on Prince of Penzance.

Names will go into the sweep below after the draw .Good Luck

No Punter  Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Penalty
1 Mrsbrianmcisme  BIG ORANGE (GB) Michael Bell Jamie Spencer  7 57kg
2  BK OUR IVANHOWE (GER) Lee & Anthony Freedman Dwayne Dunn  6 57kg
3  Pol animal CURREN MIROTIC (JPN) Osamu Hirata Tommy Berry  18 56.5kg
4 Kampong Palmer Trev  BONDI BEACH (IRE) Aidan O’Brien Ryan Moore  5 56kg
5 Aguirre  EXOSPHERIC (GB) Lee & Anthony Freedman Damien Oliver  13 56kg
6  Kambah mick HARTNELL (GB) John O’Shea James McDonald 12 56kg
7  georgeousdunny1 WHO SHOT THEBARMAN (NZ) Chris Waller Hugh Bowman  20 56kg
8 RAZZ  WICKLOW BRAVE (GB) William Mullins Frankie Dettori  24 56kg
9  scorpio ALMOONQITH (USA) David & B Hayes & T Dabernig Michael Walker  19 54.5kg
10 kaffeeklatscher  GALLANTE (IRE) Robert Hickmott Blake Shinn  2 54.5kg
11 jaeger GRAND MARSHAL (GB) Chris Waller Ben Melham  9 54.5kg
12  T.L.B.D JAMEKA Ciaron Maher Nicholas Hall  3 54.5kg 2.0kg
13  ck watt HEARTBREAK CITY (FR) Tony Martin Joao Moreira  23 54kg
14  Puffy SIR JOHN HAWKWOOD (IRE) John P Thompson Blake Spriggs  14 54kg 1.5kg
15  Sim EXCESS KNOWLEDGE (GB) Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Vlad Duric  21 53.5kg
16  Kambah Micks oh

 

 

BEAUTIFUL ROMANCE (GB) Saeed Bin Suroor Damian Lane  1 52.5kg
17  ejames ALMANDIN (GER) Robert Hickmott Kerrin McEvoy  17 52kg 1.0kg
18  brianmcisme ASSIGN (IRE) Robert Hickmott Ms Katelyn Mallyon  22 52kg 1.0kg
19 2 Gravel GREY LION (IRE) Matt Cumani Glen Boss  16 52kg
20  Bilko OCEANOGRAPHER (GB) Charlie Appleby Chad Schofield  11 52kg 1.0kg
21  puffys mum SECRET NUMBER (GB) Saeed Bin Suroor Stephen Baster 10 52kg
22 jaycee  PENTATHLON (NZ) John Wheeler Mark Du Plessis  4 51.5kg
23 Haveachat  QEWY (IRE) Charlie Appleby Craig Williams  15 51.5kg 0.5kg
24 Fiona ROSE OF VIRGINIA (NZ) Lee & Shannon Hope Ben E Thompson(a)  8 51kg

 

1. Big Orange (7)

(GB)
J: JAMIE SPENCER
T: MICHAEL BELL
W: 57KG
PREDICTION: 8TH
Odds: $17
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Comes into the race in good form winning 2 x G2 in England. Led and stuck on very well in Melb Cup last year finishing 5th. Will make own luck and stable are confident of a big run. Winning chance.

2. Our Ivanhowe (6)

(GER)
J: DWAYNE DUNN
T: LEE & ANTHONY FREEDMAN
W: 57KG
PREDICTION: 4TH
Odds: $41
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Has been going through his gears leading into race. Big run in the Caulf Cup last start suggesting 3200m will be perfect for him. Unlucky runner in Melb Cup last year and has similar conditions this year. Barrier is kind and will get a good run. Big chance. Good e/w odds.

3. Curren Mirotic (18)

(JPN)
J: TOMMY BERRY
T: OSAMU HIRATA
W: 56.5KG
PREDICTION: 22ND
Odds: $31
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Comes into the race out of form and 9YO so improvement is unlikely. The only plus is he will make his own luck on speed and Japanese horses have always gone well in our big races but his track work/form says he can’t win. Others better.

4. Bondi Beach (5)

(IRE)
J: RYAN MOORE
T: AIDAN O’BRIEN
W: 56KG
PREDICTION: 5TH
Odds: $9.00
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Lightly raced consistent stayer with plenty of upside. Comes into race on the back of two good runs in Irish G3’s with the step up to 3200m to suit. Luckless in last years Melb Cup where he hit the line well when he got room. Looks a big chance.

5. Exospheric (13)

(GB)
J: DAMIEN OLIVER
T: LEE & ANTHONY FREEDMAN
W: 56KG
PREDICTION: 11TH
Odds: $19
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Ran a good third in Caulf Cup last start where he stuck on well. Based on Caulf Cup run the 3200m looks a concern and other Internationals come in with better form. Happy to leave out.

6. Hartnell (12)

(GB)
J: JAMES MCDONALD
T: JOHN O’SHEA
W: 56KG
PREDICTION: 6TH
Odds: $5.00
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Devastating win in the G1 Turnbull before a distant 2nd to Winx in Cox Plate. Deserving favourite based on Turnbull win and has a lot of class but the 3200m is a query after finishing 15th in Melb Cup last year, despite being unlucky he didn’t hit the line with too much authority. Big chance but better value elsewhere.

7. Who Shot Thebarman (20)

(NZ)
J: HUGH BOWMAN
T: CHRIS WALLER
W: 56KG
PREDICTION: 15TH
Odds: $34
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Looked the winner in the MV Cup before being run down. Ticking along nicely and gets the 3200m. 4th in Melb Cup last year so has to be respected. Place chance.

8. Wicklow Brave (24)

(GB)
J: FRANKIE DETTORI
T: WILLIAM MULLINS
W: 56KG
PREDICTION: 9TH
Odds: $18
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Last start G1 Irish St Leger winner who has won 6 times over 3200m. Strong gallant stayer who will run a big race but will need some luck from outside barrier. Guaranteed to get the trip and will give a good site. Good e/w bet.

9. Almoonqith (19)

(USA)
J: MICHAEL WALKER
T: D & B HAYES & T DABERNIG
W: 54.5KG
PREDICTION: 12TH
Odds: $21
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Has to be respected on his Caulf Cup run when he hit the line well late. If he can get a good run from the wide barrier he has the turn of foot to win but can be a hit or miss horse. Place chance.

10. Gallante (2)

(IRE)
J: BLAKE SHINN
T: ROBERT HICKMOTT
W: 54.5KG
PREDICTION: 20TH
Odds: $67
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Good run in the Naturalism behind Jameka two starts ago before a very disappointing run in MV Cup. Won this years Sydney Cup over 3200m which is a plus but on his last start its hard to have him. Take on trust.

11. Grand Marshal (9)

(GB)
J: BEN MELHAM
T: CHRIS WALLER
W: 54.5KG
PREDICTION: 13TH
Odds: $34
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Didn’t look to be going too well until a good MV Cup win. Has won Sydney Cup over 3200m so he will stay the distance but will need rain to be a winning chance. Place chance at best. Comes right into the race if he gets a wet track though.
12. Jameka (3)
J: NICHOLAS HALL
T: CIARON MAHER
W: 54.5KG
PREDICTION: 7TH
Odds: $8.00
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Impressive Caulf Cup winner. 3200m looks ideal despite breeding saying otherwise. Has had a few small set backs and her odds are on the drift but on her Caulf Cup win she looks hard to beat. Good winning chance.

13. Heartbreak City (23)

(FR)
J: JOAO MOREIRA
T: TONY MARTIN
W: 54KG
PREDICTION: 3RD
Odds: $15
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Huge win in the Ebor Handicap last start and before that another good win in the Galway Hurdle. Comes into the race in very good form and he will definitely get the distance. Has a good turn of foot for an out and out stayer but will need luck from barrier. Big winning chance.

14. Sir John Hawkwood (14)

(IRE)
J: BLAKE SPRIGGS
T: JOHN P THOMPSON
W: 54KG
PREDICTION: 21ST
Odds: $81
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Good win in the G1 Metrop before disappointing run in Caulf Cup. Untried at the distance which is a concern and hard to have him on last run. Unlikely to figure.

15. Excess Knowledge (21)

(GB)
J: VLAD DURIC
T: GAI WATERHOUSE & ADRIAN BOTT
W: 53.5KG
PREDICTION: 18TH
Odds: $71
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Ticking a long okay this prep. Looked the winner in last years Melb Cup at big odds before finishing 7th but was going better this time last year. Place chance at best.

16. Beautiful Romance (1)

(GB)
J: DAMIAN LANE
T: SAEED BIN SUROOR
W: 52.5KG
PREDICTION: 19TH
Odds: $67
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Stuck on well in the listed Nayef Stakes in GB last start running 3rd. First up in Melb Cup and other Internationals look better but gets inside barrier and will get an easy run but will need a lot to go his way to win. Happy to leave out.

17. Almandin (17)

(GER)
J: KERRIN MCEVOY
T: ROBERT HICKMOTT
W: 52KG
PREDICTION: 1ST
Odds: $16
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Lightly raced stayer. Awesome/easy win last start in G3 at Flem over 2500m when eased down. Gets into the Melb Cup low in the weights and has been set for the race. With luck from barrier he looks very hard to beat. Our top pick. Very good e/w bet.

18. Assign (22)

(IRE)
J: KATELYN MALLYON
T: ROBERT HICKMOTT
W: 52KG
PREDICTION: 17TH
Odds: $71
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Won a weak Herbert Power last start but race has been a good form line for Melb Cup’s. Drawn poorly and looks to be 3rd best from stable in the race. Will need a lot to go right for him to figure. Place chance at best.

19. Grey Lion (16)

(IRE)
J: GLEN BOSS
T: MATT CUMANI
W: 52KG
PREDICTION: 14TH
Odds: $31
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Was gallant running 2nd in Geelong Cup last start where he had a better run than Qewy and was still beaten. Before that he didn’t look to stay 3000m in France G2 so distance is big query. Prefer others.

20. Oceanographer (11)

(GB)
J: CHAD SCHOFIELD
T: CHARLIE APPLEBY
W: 52KG
PREDICTION: 2ND
Odds: $7.00
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Scintillating win in Lexus Stakes and looks like he will relish 3200m. Godolphin did everything to get him into field which says a lot. Has to race 3 times in 2 weeks but if he backs up he looks hard to hold out. Big chance.

21. Secret Number (10)

(GB)
J: STEPHEN BASTER
T: SAEED BIN SUROOR
W: 52KG
PREDICTION: 16TH
Odds: $34
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Good win/place record in questionable form races but looks like he will get the distance. Has only raced twice in 12 months which is a concern but with light weight and a decent turn of foot he could surprise. Place chance.

22. Pentathlon (4)

(NZ)
J: MARK DU PLESSIS
T: JOHN WHEELER
W: 51.5KG
PREDICTION: 23RD
Odds: $101
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Nothing in his form says he is good enough to win this race. Well beaten in Lexus Stakes last start where he dropped out of race. Can’t see him in the finish and odds support that.

23. Qewy (15)

(IRE)
J: CRAIG WILLIAMS
T: CHARLIE APPLEBY
W: 51.5KG
PREDICTION: 10TH
Odds: $21
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: All the way winner in Geelong Cup holding off rivals. Will run on the speed and make his own luck and has placed 3 times over distance in 3 starts. Rock hard fit stayer who looks over the odds. Good e/w chance.

24. Rose Of Virginia (8)

(NZ)
J: BEN THOMPSON
T: LEE & SHANNON HOPE
W: 51KG
PREDICTION: 24TH
Odds: $101
Rating:
BET
NOW
COMMENT: Rank outsider of the field and deservingly so. There is nothing to suggest she can go close in this race. Can’t win.

 

 

  • MEMORABLE MELBOURNE CUPS: PRINCE OF PENZANCE: The quintessential tale of the boy from the bush, a girl with a dream and a horse whose dicey legs had stopped him from showing his best – until the Melbourne Cup. But Darren Weir is much more than a bush trainer. After three… Read More »

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676 thoughts on “Melbourne cup sweep 2016

  1. In an escalation of tensions inside the Coalition, NSW Liberals, speaking on condition of anonymity, said their state was the most multicultural and, apart from Tony Abbott, no one from NSW was willing either to amend or repeal section 18C of the act.

    You’d think Turnbull would also vote for amend or repeal …

  2. freefall852,

    [ We let Murdoch take over our government and our public broadcaster. ]

    I’ll say! Check out the articles from this edition of the OZ! It’s not just a propaganda sheet for the Coalition but covers pretty well all the far RW nut jobs.

    Poor fellow my country. I can foresee quite a challenging and nasty future for my kids & grand kids. Every horrible aspect of the US condition is destined to be repeated here and I can’t see any way it can be avoided given the stranglehold that the likes of Murdoch has with the Australian media.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/climate/one-nation-call-for-audit-over-csiro-climate-claims/news-story/eee35aff8b4d9fb6a199f267700b8b37

  3. Turnbull the dud lawyer. And a lying bastard.

    Gotta love #politicslive readers.

    Aruna Sathanapally, a barrister at the Sydney bar and visiting lecturer at Sydney University, has clarified more on the process of complaints under section 18C.

    To recap, Malcolm Turnbull seemed to suggest that the Human Rights Commission was pursuing the QUT case under 18C.

    Turnbull said:

    I think the Human Rights Commission has done a great deal of harm to its credibility by bringing the case against the Queensland students….

    Now, frankly, what the Human Rights Commission needs to do is reflect on whether, in making its decisions as to which cases to pursue and which cases not to pursue, it has been doing so in a manner that enhances the reputation both of the commission and respect for the Racial Discrimination Act.

    It seemed to me (no lawyer) that Turnbull was at odds with the Commission’s advice on the website that it does not pursue the cases so I asked for a clarification of the process.

    This is from Sathanapally:

    In short, the process is the same across all grounds of what is referred to as “unlawful discrimination” which includes age discrimination, sex discrimination and race discrimination. The Commissions role, as you’ve identified, is to conciliate. Complaint to the Commission is required before a person can proceed to either the Federal Circuit Court or Federal Court. The Commission’s role is to inquire into and attempt to conciliate the dispute, in a private and informal way.

    It does not make determinations, nor does it bring legal proceedings (though it may seek to intervene). The relevant provisions are sections 46P-PN of the Australian Human Rights Commission Act.

    The AHRC has, and employs, the power to terminate (dismiss) complaints on various grounds, including that they are trivial or vexatious.

    The AHRC does not make any determination on whether unlawful discrimination is made out, that is the job of a court… The AHRC cannot stop a court proceeding…</blockquote.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2016/nov/07/malcolm-turnbull-human-rights-commission-should-look-at-18c-process-politics-live

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