Election

Newspoll: 57-43 to Labor (October 2025)

Kirsdarke Policy Analysis, Political Observation , , ,

Rather than doom and gloomerism for the Progressive side of politics, I think instead a better move tonight would be to reflect on how good Labor has gone over this past year of tumultuous international politics.

Let’s compare tonight’s Newspoll results to the Federal Election results in May.

Labor: 37% (+2.5)
Coalition: 28% (-4.0)
Greens: 12% (0.0)
One Nation: 11% (+5.0)
Other: 12% (-3.0)

2PP: Labor 57-43 (+2 to Labor since the election, indicating they’d likely gain seats as things are now).

Now, we are of course aware of things in America. There’s really nothing we can do for those poor souls over there. But for what we can do over here in Australia, there’s lots we can do.

I can’t pretend to preach much since I haven’t done much to connect with community, and, this is the part where I think I’d like to ask for advice as to how we can do better here and not hurtle toward the same fate as the USA and the UK.

Personally I want to see a scenario where Australia is MAGA-proofed at least until the 2030’s, and even then, what the Labor government does can’t be as easily repealed as the Carbon and Mining taxes were, and also a significant social change from what John Howard gave us.

Australian Election Day 2025

Kirsdarke election night, Featured Posts, Friday night, Political Observation , , ,

Finally it’s here, the day of the Australian Federal Election, 3 May 2025.

Polling has the Two-Party Preferred vote at roughly 52-48 to 53-47 to Labor, with primary votes for both Labor and the Coalition being in the mid-30’s, the Greens vote between 12-15%, One Nation being around 7-8%, and a large Other vote to fill the rest.

Feel free to post predictions, events that take place today, speculations, observations once the votes are counted, all are welcome.

There’s a high chance that things won’t be decided tomorrow night, there’s a lot of things up in the air, especially the Senate, but hopefully over the next few days they’ll be sorted out and determined for sure, and hopefully will result in a government that’s beneficial to Australia.

2025 Western Australian State Election

Kirsdarke Uncategorized , ,

On Saturday 8 March, Western Australia goes to the polls for its state election. The Labor government under Premier Roger Cook will contest against the Leader of the Opposition, Shane Love of the National Party, and also Libby Mettam of the Liberal Party (yes, the Liberals went so badly last time that they won less seats than the Nationals).

Significantly, Labor’s victory at the previous election in 2021 was so strong that they were able to reform the Legislative Council to remove the malapportionment that benefitted the Nationals for so long, so that the whole state will vote to elect 37 Upper House members, as opposed to the previous system where MLC’s were elected to malapportioned regions that made votes outside of Perth more valuable than those within it.

The last polls before the day have Labor leading over the Coalition by 57-43. A significant swing from their 69-31 result last time, but probably not a result they would be unhappy with.

Of course, this is an open thread so other subjects that arise over the next few weeks are welcome to be discussed about.