Aston By-Election – Once in a Century Result

Last night, Federal Labor has upended the electoral standard that governments do not win by-elections from the opposition. Of course, there has been state by-elections in that time that have gone against that, such as Burwood, the seat of former Victorian Liberal Premier, Jeff Kennett, and Benalla, the seat of former Victorian National Deputy Premier, Pat McNamara, but these are exceptions to the norm.

The key result is that Victorian voters in the seat of Aston are liking what they see in the Albanese government enough for them to vote for a candidate from the Government party over the candidate from the Opposition party, in which they had previously voted for in the Federal election only 10 months ago.

The ramifications of this is that the Coalition is in shambles. The swing against the Liberals in this by-election is currently around 6%, leaving the result for Aston at about 53-47 to Labor. Not bad for a seat not won by them since 1987.

So then, who is responsible for that? The hard right factions would pin it on the moderate liberals. The moderate liberal factions would pin it on the hard right. The chances of these factions coming to a mutual agreement on this, I think, is zero.

This by-election has simply broadened the gap between the hard right and moderate right of the Liberal parties of Australia. And the next few years will be very “interesting” indeed for them.

Let’s take a look at the electoral history chart for Aston and see just how reliable it was for the Liberals until yesterday.

A hearty congratulations for Mary Doyle, the new Labor MP for Aston, and of course the vast team that supported her. A victory for a great suburban Melbourne mum who put her hand up to bring betterment to her constituents. The Light on the Hill shines brightly over Australia.



It is the time of the major Christian festival, Easter. Its name is said to come from Eostre, or Eostrae, the Anglo-Saxon Goddess of spring and fertility. This was a time in the ancient Britannic world when the new season was welcomed. After the dark Winter, people enjoyed festivals to mark the new life of Spring. This also explains the giving of eggs for Easter, to signify the new lives to come and the celebrations of hope, joy, and fun. The bunny celebrated fertility.

 Are there themes that the non-religious or those from other faiths, take from the Christian Easter? What can voters in the next Australian Federal election take from Easter?

The Christian festival is wrapped up in the story of Jesus rising from death, to proclaim new life for all people. Most cultures and religions have a festival to celebrate the shedding of the old and welcoming the new. We are now in Ramadam, the period of fasting and giving in the Moslem faith, which is followed by the family celebrations when it is finished and a new cycle of faith begins.

We can go back to the pagan ceremonies, taken over by the Christians for convenience, which looked forward to a new spring, new plants, fruits, new wildlife, and new humans being conceived.  It was a time when there would be plenty to eat, the weather was nice and the daily grind of survival was easier than during the dark and cold, often frozen Winter. Old straw mattresses were tossed out and new, fresh beds made up.

Easter also says it is never too late to take a better path or live a different life.  The despair of Easter Friday is lifted on a joyous Easter Sunday. Although from then on, the next day or week may still be difficult, and the next month and the next year, and even the next decade hard, that bright day when the Ancients hoped for nothing more than another good season, can be our inspiration as well. 

Sometimes to survive until your time comes is enough.

In the Southern hemisphere, we go into Winter after Easter but we can always look to the Spring beyond. Those who plant our Autumn bulbs know that the plants are absorbing energy and growing, quietly, out of sight. They bloom gloriously when our side of the Earth reaches the part of our orbit around the Sun which gives the flowers their time in the sun. 

And so the world turns.

We also may think our lives will never see the sun, that we are in a perpetual Winter.  I am certain the grief-stricken victims of the wars in the world think that, too, with very good reason. We can only hope they get a time when they can safely sit in the sun with memories that comfort them. 

 This is also a time when those who bring Winter into the lives of others can step back, and just stop doing it. They can count the cost to themselves as well as others, and realise that at the end of it all, it just is not worth it. All the energy, resources, and time spent to make others unhappy is a lost opportunity to gain their own happiness. Does the dictator sleep well without guards, locks, and alarms? Does their power bring them anything but their own self-imposed prison? Can he or she just sit in the sun, with their memories, without dragging Winter into the seat next to them?

Can a President or Prime Minister, or any leader who lets only some select few sit by the fire in Winter while leaving others outside to bear the cold as best as they can, expect his or her Springs to last forever?

 The Story of Easter says not, unless they cast aside their destructive ways forever and make good, and atone for their past behaviour and the consequences of their actions.

During this festival of giving eggs and chocolate and celebrating happiness, we can look at ourselves and see if our choices are bringing Spring to others and ourselves. 

In Australia, we do that every time we vote, for we are fortunate that we do not have to do it with weapons. The vote we make is critical, so I say, vote to bring in Australia’s Spring, the new life we need. Wave off our long Winter, and those who brought it to us. Bring in new talent, new ideas, and new hope. 

How does Easter help voters?

In my opinion, in Australia the current government has given us a nine-year social and economic Winter. I see the most vulnerable left out in the cold, and also many others kicked out into the cold with them, judged worthless.

If we want a new Spring in Australia we have to make sure the political world turns towards the sun, and new life is breathed into our Parliament.  Change the government.

Give our people their Spring. 



Our best wishes go out to Moderator Leone2, who is in hospital with a broken hip. Her son Steve kindly informed The Pub. I must say to be thinking of other Pubsters at such a traumatic time is going beyond expectations. We will organise a Gold Echidna With Bar for Leone2 and her son Steve to thank them and recognise Leone2’s valued contribution to The Pub.

Puff, the Magic Dragon.