Newspoll: 57-43 to Labor (October 2025)

Rather than doom and gloomerism for the Progressive side of politics, I think instead a better move tonight would be to reflect on how good Labor has gone over this past year of tumultuous international politics.

Let’s compare tonight’s Newspoll results to the Federal Election results in May.

Labor: 37% (+2.5)
Coalition: 28% (-4.0)
Greens: 12% (0.0)
One Nation: 11% (+5.0)
Other: 12% (-3.0)

2PP: Labor 57-43 (+2 to Labor since the election, indicating they’d likely gain seats as things are now).

Now, we are of course aware of things in America. There’s really nothing we can do for those poor souls over there. But for what we can do over here in Australia, there’s lots we can do.

I can’t pretend to preach much since I haven’t done much to connect with community, and, this is the part where I think I’d like to ask for advice as to how we can do better here and not hurtle toward the same fate as the USA and the UK.

Personally I want to see a scenario where Australia is MAGA-proofed at least until the 2030’s, and even then, what the Labor government does can’t be as easily repealed as the Carbon and Mining taxes were, and also a significant social change from what John Howard gave us.

Boiling Water – 21st Century Fascism

From this article here: https://www.the-reframe.com/boiling-water/

Imagine you have a friend. Let’s call him Rick Reasonable.

Now imagine you have an enemy. Let’s call your enemy Bart B. Oilingwater.

Bart is a real piece of crap. Whenever he sees you, he throws boiling water at you. Usually you dodge it, but every once in a while, he catches you with a bit. You have some bad scarring on one arm, and a few places on your face and neck. And you have to constantly be on the lookout for Bart, because if you let your guard down, it’s scalding water time!

Rick is a good friend. He thinks it is really bad that Bart throws boiling water on you. He tells you this all the time. He’s written some letters to the newspaper about how bad Bart is for throwing boiling water on you. Sometimes he’ll even go out with you to watch your back. He’s got a popular TV show, and he’s gone on the record a few times that Bart is in the wrong for always trying to hit you in the face with boiling water.

Then one day you turn on the TV at the end of the day, and you see Rick has Bart on as a guest. Rick is arguing with Bart about whether or not it is good to douse you with boiling water at every available opportunity. Rick is … parsing things a little more than you’d like.

He wants to know if the water has to be boiling, if it can’t just be very hot. Bart says, no, no, it really does have to be boiling. But does it have to be water, Rick asks. Could it be something a bit easier to dodge, like molasses or tar? Bart thinks about this, and decides he isn’t sure. He’ll have to get back to Rick on that one—but really, he prefers water.

Rick wants to know if there can’t be days Bart could promise to not throw boiling water at you. Bart doesn’t really want to set that sort of precedent.

Rick would like to know why it needs to be you every time. Bart is shocked that Rick would suggest such a thing. He insists he doesn’t have a throwing-boiling-water-on-you-specifically bone in his body. He just believes in throwing boiling water, and you happen to be the one that’s there every time. He’d like to know why, if you apparently hate being struck with boiling water, you insist on being in areas where you know he will be throwing it. He suggests that Rick is really the one singling him, Bart, out, by being so intolerant of his rich cultural heritage of throwing boiling water on people. He hints that Rick’s constant scolding makes Bart want to seek you out specifically now, to throw boiling water on you, for daring to suppose such a thing of him.

Rick appears to have conceded that Bart absolutely does have a right to walk the streets carrying as much boiling water as he wants, in the long-standing tradition of our country. Bart appreciates Rick’s stance on the matter, and compliments him on his willingness to find common ground.

At the end of the segment, he and Bart agree to disagree on whether or not it is good to attempt to douse you with boiling water every day. Bart still thinks it is very good—though he insists it is not directed at you, but only at spaces that you happen to inhabit. He wonders, again, why you choose to inhabit those spaces. Rick continues to insist that throwing at the space that you inhabit is tantamount to throwing it at you, and that it is quite rude indeed. They shake hands. Then there is a commercial for Pepsi.

The next day, you confront Rick about this and he shrugs. “Man, I hate that bastard Bart,” he says, “but you have to hear both sides.”

How are we feeling about Rick?

Budget 2024-25 Open Thread

Same as last year, tonight is Budget Night and will be aired on TV at 7:30pm AEST, 7:00pm ACST and 5:30pm AWST.

Feel free to post your thoughts about it as the news about it arrives, as well as other things.