The PUB 13th Anniversary

Now that things are wrapping up for Christmas-New Year in 2025, this might now be a good time for a new post.

We’ve been here for 13 years now, so while politics are about as relevant as some random wasp nest that can frankly sort itself out at this moment, let’s just maybe hold this time to be something of a break and wish everyone a good holiday season.

13 is an unlucky number, yes, but perhaps with superstitions like this, we can overcome that by openly defying it by not paying any meaningful attention to it? 2026 has a lot of potential one way or another.

Hopefully everyone here has a great Christmas-Holiday-New Year period in the next month.

Australian Election Day 2025

Finally it’s here, the day of the Australian Federal Election, 3 May 2025.

Polling has the Two-Party Preferred vote at roughly 52-48 to 53-47 to Labor, with primary votes for both Labor and the Coalition being in the mid-30’s, the Greens vote between 12-15%, One Nation being around 7-8%, and a large Other vote to fill the rest.

Feel free to post predictions, events that take place today, speculations, observations once the votes are counted, all are welcome.

There’s a high chance that things won’t be decided tomorrow night, there’s a lot of things up in the air, especially the Senate, but hopefully over the next few days they’ll be sorted out and determined for sure, and hopefully will result in a government that’s beneficial to Australia.

2025 Australian and Canadian Federal Elections

As promised, now that the Election has been called for the 3rd of May, the Federal campaign has officially started in Australia, so here is the thread to discuss it.

Currently, polling indicates things are roughly 51-49 either way, with a minority government most likely, given the size of the crossbench makes it unlikely either Labor or the Coalition will reach the 76 seats needed to form a majority government. Of course there is an outside possibility that it could happen, but we’ll have to see how things pan out over the next 5 weeks.

Incidentally, in that same week is the Canadian election that will take place on 28 April, where the incumbent Liberal party is seeking a fourth term under its new leader Mark Carney, and their main opposition is the Conservative party under Pierre Pollievre. Polling over there has seen a dramatic turnaround over the past 2 months, where the Liberals had been trailing the Conservatives by over 20 points in December, and they now are in the lead in most polls.

Probably the biggest issue for both Commonwealth nations in our elections is the “situation” (or “binfire”, depending on what you want to call it) in the USA under the Trump administration looming large over us.

Lots of things are going to happen between now and polling day. Debates, polls, Easter, talking heads news analysis, the usual talk is welcome here.