Liberté, égalité, fraternité

As a conversation thread starter, here are some links to help understand the recent election in France. I will avoid all but one of the obvious “This isn’t the end of Macron or France’s problems” articles, of which there seem to be at least a thousand.

Firstly, it is interesting that the polls moved to Macron between the first and second round, and his final vote slightly exceeded his best final poll, which might be partly accounted for by the fact that there is no last day polling by law. As with the 2017 election, I think some who don’t like Macron and who love to complain about the way things are, admit to themselves in the last week or even the last day that they will still vote to block the one they like even less. This 2021 post on french performative miserablism and polling on vaccination partly covers what might be a national political and polling tendancy.

https://www.tomforth.co.uk/miserabilism/

The below by John Lichfield from before the vote is a good read, he argues that the old French Right-Left system has mutated into a muddled pattern of three broad tribes: the scattered Left and the Greens; a pro-European, consensual Centre; and a nationalist-populist, anti-migrant and anti-European Right. No winner will ever be really popular with more than a third of the country.

https://www.thelocal.fr/20220419/opinion-macron-will-win-the-french-election-and-then-his-real-problems-begin/

Late last year Manu Saadia wrote a series of Substack posts on the French election for the benefit of the non french, explaining the basics and background really well. He stopped well before the vote, but they are still a good read. https://lacampagne.substack.com/

In particular I draw your attention to the one on why the Presidential vote matters so much, “Camembert President.” He writes “France is a monarchy that undergoes a succession crisis every five years, by way of an election. It is by design. Under France’s current constitutional arrangement, the so-called Fifth Republic, the sole real seat of power is the office of the presidency. It is therefore unsurprising that all civic and political life would revolve around it.”

https://lacampagne.substack.com/p/camembert-president

Another good read, “Eric Zemmour and the long shadow of France’s defeat in Algeria”

https://lacampagne.substack.com/p/the-long-shadow-of-frances-defeat

The amazing mechanics of an election that spans the entire globe

https://lacampagne.substack.com/p/a-vote

Finally, I recommend to you the recently launched Le Monde english language edition. Why read US and UK takes on European news when you can now get the news direct? Most of the best European newspapers are only in the local language, so this is a good development for us. Some articles are subscriber only (although you can usually still read good chunks of those), but many are free to read. Worth bookmarking the site for french news. https://www.lemonde.fr/en/

Two articles to start…

Jean-Luc Mélenchon devises plan to become Emmanuel Macron’s main opponent

The leader of the radical left hopes to win the legislative elections in June. Labor Day protests on May 1st will be the the left’s first show of strength against President Macron.

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2022/04/27/jean-luc-melenchon-devises-plan-to-become-emmanuel-macron-s-main-opponent_5981705_5.html

Quarrelling French far right struggles to unite for legislative elections

Marine Le Pen has already set her sights on the June 12 and 19 elections, hoping to induct a significant far-right group to the Assemblée Nationale. Eric Zemmour called for an alliance while criticizing her defeat, fueling their rivalry.

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/politics/article/2022/04/27/quarrelling-french-far-right-struggles-to-unite-for-legislative-elections_5981707_5.html

492 thoughts on “Liberté, égalité, fraternité

  1. Judging by all the Twitter comments on David Speers change of style this morning he seems to have finally realised he has been backing the wrong side. Could he be worried about hanging onto his job after next weekend?

    Anyone noticing David Speers didn't interrupt Albo on #insiders but did with Josh Frydenberg? Major shift.What's going on? Why 🙄#auspol #ausvotes #AusVotes2022— Politic@l Spinner (@LesStonehouse) May 15, 2022

    • The “fears” about the Cashless Debit Card are NOT a Labor scare campaign.

      The legislation already allows for age pensioners to be forced onto the card. There are already pensioners on it in card “trial” areas. Anne Ruston until a few months ago was talking happily about pushing everyone on social security of any kind onto what she described as “a universal system”.

      Labor and the Greens have promised to scrap this card, while the Libs and Nats, plus ON and UAP are all for it to be extended.

    • I watch Gogglebox – usually I skip the parts that are promotions for crap like MAFS and similar shows, but every so often you get gems like this.

  2. Vale the man who single handedly redifined the art of fielding and the best run out marksman of all time.

    Andrew Symonds killed in car accicent Saturday night.

  3. Those Barbie Pink lips!!!!!

    When he said he’d change, I wasn’t expecting drag make up.— Kent Parkstreet (@thespecialbka) May 15, 2022

    Genuine photo from AAP, not photoshopped. And an over-done fake tan. How very Trumpian!

  4. juice media has coined a brilliant new word see if you can spot it – (hint;- it starts with scot….)

    • It started out like a bit of fun but I gradually more and more nauseous the further it went. In the end I was feeling much like Janice and desperately looking of a chunder bucket.

    • “Hilarious” is not the word to describe this. I found it incredibly sad that Australia has degenerated so much since the Coalition came to power.

      I too needed a sick bag by the end.

  5. Good way of making houses more expensive

    Setting up a contrast with Labor for the final week of the election campaign, the prime minister used the Liberal party’s official campaign launch to promise a new super home buyer scheme that would allow people to access up to $50,000 of superannuation savings for the purchase of a first home.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/15/scott-morrison-uses-liberal-party-campaign-launch-to-set-up-housing-battle-with-labor

  6. The most dangerous time in any kingdom or dictatorship is when the old leader is close to karking it or being overthrown. It is rare for everyone to get out of those circumstances alive or in one piece. I do not see Putin’s Russia as any different. His time is almost up, give or take five years. He has already lived longer than the usual lifespan of a Russian male.

    It is a tragedy that he is taking all those Ukrainian (and Russian) young people, kids, and babies with him. They will never get the lifespan Putin enjoyed, the selfish evil old bastard. I wish I believed in Hell, so a special ring of torment could be built just for him and the others like him.

  7. Leone2
    As a woman with my late start and broken work history, I don’t have anywhere near $50k in my super!
    Women like us should get grants to take us to $100,000k in superannuation, making up for the financial loss we suffer because of the work and social policies of the 20th Century. And men who also suffered for missing out on superannuation for whatever reason. Injured workers, war veterans, full-time carers of disabled kids, longh periods on the dole etc.

    This country has its values really screwed up. We need free education to the first Bachelor level and Honours level, or free trade training. We need the oldies spending money so the economy keeps moving. We need affordable housing for working people and public housing for anyone else. WE do not need people working three gig jobs to 60+ hours a week to live, while others get 15 hours a week at their workplace and live in their car.

    The wealthy are trying to asset strip the lower-down classes AGAIN. Many of those homes bought with deposits from workers’ superannuation are going to end up in foreclosure, so the wealthy get the super and the houses. It is the kind of idea only a Morriscum and cronies could come up with, as they usually do!

    • I live in what is now Community Housing. Initially it was public housing and I only jumped to the top of the waiting list in 1990 because I was expected to die.

      I think I am lucky to have my house. Without it I would be living in my car.

      It is scandalous that no Australian or state government has been interested in providing adequate amounts of public housing for several decades. Instead they profit from selling off homes which are never replaced.

  8. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    Sean Kelly reckons that Albanese has now got it right after hid 5.1% “Absolutely” remark. He also looks at Morrison being a “bulldozer”, saying the only time the bulldozer has been in operation is to stop things happening.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/after-labouring-the-point-albanese-finally-gets-his-story-straight-20220514-p5alcs.html
    David Crowe, in this assessment of yesterday’s Coalition campaign launch, says it was consciously reactive to the central accusation from Albanese that Morrison has no plan for the future and is asking voters to give the Liberals and Nationals a second decade in power after three terms in government.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/scott-morrison-repositions-himself-with-positive-pitch-to-younger-voters-as-campaign-enters-the-final-week-20220515-p5alhu.html
    James Massola tells us about an interview yesterday where Anthony Albanese laid out an ambitious two-term strategy to roll out universal childcare, add superannuation to paid parental leave, expand the scheme and potentially hold a royal commission into the management of the pandemic. He also said he wanted to “change the way that politics operates in this country” by avoiding soundbites and “actually answering questions”.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/albanese-reveals-two-term-strategy-if-labor-wins-20220515-p5alg9.html
    I’ll get out of your lives, promises Morrison. Just re-elect me first, writes Jacqui Maley.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/i-ll-get-out-of-your-lives-promises-morrison-just-re-elect-me-first-20220515-p5ali3.html
    David Crowe and Stephanie Peatling (haven’t see her for a while) report that Scott Morrison has picked a policy brawl with Labor to shape the final week of the election campaign by unveiling plans to allow first home buyers to withdraw up to $50,000 from their superannuation to get into the property market.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/first-home-buyers-could-use-superannuation-under-coalition-government-20220515-p5alh3.html
    Phil Coorey writes that Scott Morrison has set up a contest over housing affordability with Labor and the superannuation industry just six days out from the election, by announcing homebuyers will be able to use up to $50,000 each from their super account to get into the market.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/pm-takes-on-labor-super-funds-with-housing-pitch-20220515-p5alfy
    Super for houses is a bad policy, but Scott Morrison wants to pick a fight over it says Katherine Murphy.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/15/super-for-houses-is-a-bad-policy-but-scott-morrison-wants-to-pick-a-fight-over-it
    The AFR’s editorial concludes with, “Drawing on superannuation may help more self-reliant young people get into the housing market, but it falls far short of fixing the tax, pension and regulatory distortions that have made affordable home ownership a receding dream for younger generations.”
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/housing-gimmicks-won-t-make-the-australian-dream-affordable-20220512-p5akul
    Scott Morrison is running out of time to turn an electoral tide that’s carrying the Coalition out to sea. His new housing policy is one Labor can’t copy, writes Jennifer Hewett.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/morrison-launches-his-own-rescue-plan-20220515-p5algt
    “Coming to a Saturday auction near you – first time buyers with an extra $50,000 in their pockets that will push up prices and make housing more unaffordable”, says Shane Wright.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/another-housing-solution-that-will-drive-up-prices-20220515-p5alha.html
    If the polls are right, he may soon be the next Australian prime minister. So, who is Anthony Albanese, explores Paul Strangio.
    https://theconversation.com/if-the-polls-are-right-he-may-soon-be-the-next-australian-prime-minister-so-who-is-anthony-albanese-177617
    Michelle Grattan looks at what makes Scott Morrison tick and suggests his beating heart is a focus group.
    https://theconversation.com/his-beating-heart-is-a-focus-group-what-makes-scott-morrison-tick-182940
    “Could this be the election in which News Corp’s impotence is exposed?”, asks Margaret Simons who doesn’t hold back in her criticism.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/could-this-be-the-election-in-which-news-corp-s-impotence-is-exposed-20220515-p5alev.html
    Morrison dislikes any one and any thing he can’t control. It is very fortunate for him that News Corp’s hatreds, prejudices, intolerances and racism correspond to his own including the worship of money, writes Bruce Haigh who says Morrison loathes foreigners and foreign policy.
    https://johnmenadue.com/morrison-loathes-foreigners-and-foreign-policy/
    From The Australian. “As the seemingly endless six-week election campaign drags into its final days, relations have become decidedly frosty between two Canberra press gallery leaders, Nine’s Chris Uhlmann and The Guardian’s political editor Katharine “Murpharoo” Murphy. Any pretence of civility between two of the press gallery’s best-known members disintegrated last week, after Murphy fired off an insult-riddled 1000-word opinion piece, which eviscerated Nine’s Sunday night ‘Great Debate’ under the 60 Minutes banner.”
    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/business/media/chris-uhlmann-vs-katharine-murphy-canberras-latest-feud/news-story/0f6fcca5ddbd610159df9a5ba2615751
    The fight for the Liberals’ future will be vicious if the Morrison Government is defeated this coming Saturday, says Andrew Bolt.
    https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/opinion/andrew-bolt/andrew-bolt-fight-for-libs-future-will-be-vicious-if-morrison-is-defeated/news-story/a3e4439fd518d37b68afcbe8aa0bbece?amp
    In the final, frenzied days of political campaigning all over Australia, Lee Duffield protests the “phony war” of insults used to attack Anthony Albanese and economic management.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/morrisons-economic-trash-talking-is-out-of-order,16356
    The Age’s editorial declares that Labor’s climate policy easily beats Coalition’s.
    https://www.theage.com.au/politics/federal/labor-s-climate-policy-easily-beats-coalition-s-20220514-p5alb7.html
    An unholy alliance of carbon farmers and Big Gas lobbyists are quietly shaping Australia’s emissions reduction framework to maximise their take of taxpayer money while increasing emissions as much as possible. Callum Foote follows the money.
    https://michaelwest.com.au/grant-king-and-the-big-gas-con-how-fossil-fuel-giants-are-cheating-australias-emissions-system/
    Robert Glasser is concerned that political leaders are ignoring the biggest threat to our national security, climate change.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/political-leaders-ignoring-the-biggest-threat-to-our-national-security-20220429-p5ah6s.html
    Our governments should be ashamed of decades of neglect in scaling back carbon and methane emissions. In the upcoming Federal Election, we must vote to erode monopoly politics, writes Gerry Georgatos.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/independents-may-be-our-only-shot-at-helping-the-environment,16350
    No, Mr Morrison. Minority government need not create ‘chaos’ – it might finally drag Australia to a responsible climate policy, argues Kate Crowley.
    https://theconversation.com/no-mr-morrison-minority-government-need-not-create-chaos-it-might-finally-drag-australia-to-a-responsible-climate-policy-181706
    The business community risks shooting itself in the foot by opposing wage increases, writes Ross Gittins who destroys some of their arguments.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/corporate-chiefs-should-back-wage-hikes-because-cheating-customers-ain-t-smart-business-20220515-p5algp.html
    Bruce Wolpe praises the enduring bipartisan relationship between Australia and the US and looks at the relationship that Noden and Albanese might have. A good read.
    https://johnmenadue.com/so-who-does-the-white-house-want-to-win-the-election/
    Justine Toh asks, “Is an Australian PM our pastor-in-chief?”
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7738611/is-an-australian-pm-our-pastor-in-chief/?cs=14258
    The decade-long uncertainty meted out to men, women and children who sought to come to Australia by boat has left them unable to pursue meaningful futures, writes Bianca Hall who says that for 19,000 people, this election could open the door to life.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/for-19-000-people-this-election-could-open-the-door-to-life-20220427-p5aghz.html
    Travers McLeod argues that poverty is a policy choice,
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/make-no-mistake-poverty-is-a-policy-choice-20220515-p5aley.html
    Without radical reform, the prognosis for our health system is grim, argues surgeon Dr Neela Janakiramanan.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/without-radical-reform-the-prognosis-for-our-health-system-is-grim-20220514-p5ald1.html
    Charles Maskell-Knight laments the erosion of Medicare.
    https://johnmenadue.com/charles-maskell-knight-the-erosion-of-medicare/
    Widening inequity in access to health care is curable but it may take the Teal Independents to write the script, opines Graeme Stewart.
    https://johnmenadue.com/widening-inequity-in-access-to-health-care-is-curable-but-it-may-take-the-teal-independents-to-write-the-script/
    Investigative journalists and publishing executives have warned a court order compelling a major media company to hand over documents before publication would have a chilling long-term effect on freedom of the press unless overturned, writes Zoe Samios.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/extraordinary-and-unprecedented-court-order-could-have-chilling-effect-on-journalism-20220515-p5ali5.html
    More from Samios who reports that the ABC is considering replacing its complaints handling system with an internal ombudsman that would report findings to the board after a lengthy review found there could be improvements made to the way it handles concerns from the public.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/abc-board-told-to-appoint-complaints-ombudsman-20220513-p5al4g.html
    Caitlin Fitzsimmons wonders where the women’s rage of has 2021 gone.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/where-has-the-women-s-rage-of-2021-gone-20220511-p5ake7.html
    A lower-house candidate for Pauline Hanson’s One Nation, who is linked to anti-vaccination protests, has been arrested near Parliament House. Lucia Grant, a teacher, is the party’s candidate for Fenner, the northern ACT seat currently held by Labor’s Andrew Leigh.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/7738609/one-nation-candidate-for-fenner-arrested-near-parliament-house/?cs=14329
    Swedish Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson will seek broad support for an application to join NATO, she announced, after her party dropped its long-standing opposition to membership in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Not quite what Putin planned.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/sweden-seeks-nato-membership-as-ruling-party-drops-73-year-opposition-20220516-p5alki.html
    NATO’s secretary general says Vladimir Putin’s invasion has not gone to plan and Ukraine “can win this war” as new intelligence indicated Russia may have lost one third of the force it sent to the country.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/2022/05/16/russia-troop-losses-british-intelligence/
    A white 18-year-old accused of a killing ten people in a racially motivated attack while wearing military gear and livestreaming with a helmet camera is believed to have released a manifesto in which he attributed his radicalisation to Christchurch mosque shooter Brenton Tarrant.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/at-least-eight-dead-in-daylight-mass-shooting-at-us-supermarket-20220515-p5alee.html
    Biden will do ‘everything in his power’ to end hate crimes. But can he do anything, wonders Farrah Tomazin.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/biden-will-do-everything-in-his-power-to-end-hate-crimes-but-can-he-do-anything-20220515-p5alhl.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe

    Mark David


    Joe Benke

    Peter Broelman

    Megan Herbert

    Glen Le Lievre and a gif

    Mark Knight

    Leak

    From the US







  9. In the Rowe cartoon what does what is written on the logs in the fire mean ? It looks like DFBNYA . The ‘F’ might be a ‘T’ .

    • I have no idea what it means, but the alleged “F” looks like a “T” to me.

      I’m afraid I pay no attention to anything Scovid says these days, it all makes me want to throw up. I don’t even read transcripts of his utterances. Whatever he says is all lies anyway.

  10. “Super is a total failure. Most Australians will always be on the pension under super and it costs the budget more than it saves.

    Senator Bragg is WRONG

    Annually, there is much more spent on superannuation tax concessions for the wealthy than is spent on aged pensions.

    From memory tax concessions cost double the aged pension

  11. Yesterday there was a story in The Australian which claimed Scovid was given the questions ahead of the last debate on Wednesday night.

    He still lost the last debate, but the advance notice did allow him time to prepare,

    If true, and I have no doubt it is, it explains why Mark Riley said to Scovid “You are really smashing out those talking points”.

    But wait! There’s more!

    Van Badham’s Facebook page has a list of the alleged and actual questions. They are remarkably similar.
    https://www.facebook.com/ThatVanBadham

  12. Excellent thread (only 3 tweets) from Grace Tame on how Scovid is the ultimate abuser –

  13. Is Scott Morrison receiving a briefing on the new housing estates scheduled for Hawkesbury River flood plain. Are they planning evacuation routes to evacuate residents quickly when the next major flood occurs

    • No, he’s not, although he should be addressing the NSW government’s daft plan to allow huge housing developments on that flood plain.

      He was campaigning in Blair (Qld) and inspecting plans for another shonky housing development.

      The local Lib candidate, Sam Biggins, just happens to be from the real estate industry – if conning people counts as an “industry”.

      Jen really, really loves those plunging necklines, doesn’t she.

    • “And this is a model showing how high the flood waters will be”

  14. Just when you think Fox has sunk to it’s lowest level, they manage to outdo themselves again and again. Here it the latest circle of hell that they have managed to dig.

    Brian Tyler Cohen –

  15. Friendlyjordies’ latest is throwing some good shade at Janet Albrechtsen

  16. connections between Alexander Downer, Clive Palmer and News Corp

    • FMD ! Hurrah $5,000,000,000 pissed up against the wall for invisible subs but by golly they really nailed the change of name. Now those Chinese will be screwed when they go looking for the Dept. of Defence.

  17. PvO says he has polling showing Deves in with a shot in Waringah. Details in tomorrow’s news (in a reply to someone who tweeted him, he says he got the info too late for today). Presumably Lib polling, but he hasn’t said who its from yet.

    After watching the video, the other three seats seem to be Parramatta (mentioned by name), and then possibly Benellong (there is a mention of Ryde) and maybe either Berowa or Bradsfield (a mention of Horsby) although that last one seems really odd.

    https://www.thesaturdaypaper.com.au/

    • Bernie Finn has been in the Victorian parliament for around 23 years all up, with a break between 1999 and 2006, yet the Libs have only just realised he is a fruitloop?

      He started off as a DLP candidate – that should have given them a few clues as to what he would be like.

    • If the UK is anything like Australia most lower-paid workers are already working two or three jobs just to make ends meet.

      Let’s abolish lavish salaries and perks for politicians and put them all on the minimum wage, with an Indue card as well. That should bring them to their senses within 10 minutes or the first time that card declines a perfectly innocent purchase. About the same time for both, from what I’ve heard.

  18. Good morning Dawn Patrollers

    Wentworth MP Dave Sharma is relying on endorsements from Matt Kean and Josh Frydenberg in his campaign flyers – not Prime Minister Scott Morrison, writes David Crowe
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/city-liberals-turn-to-frydenberg-on-climate-to-defend-their-seats-20220516-p5alsw.html
    Charlotte Grieve reports that the chair of the country’s largest superannuation fund has warned that the Coalition’s “debilitating” super-for-housing policy will reduce investment returns and push up house prices.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/debilitating-effect-australiansuper-boss-hits-out-at-pm-s-housing-plan-20220516-p5aln1.html
    Economist Angela Jackson argues that the Coalition’s housing policy to use superannuation represents another nightmare for first home buyers already struggling to realise their dreams.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/just-another-nightmare-for-first-home-buyers-20220516-p5alr8.html
    Morrison is kicking into the wind in the final quarter, but the siren hasn’t sounded, says James Massola.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-kicking-into-the-wind-in-the-final-quarter-but-the-siren-hasn-t-sounded-20220516-p5alof.html
    David Crowe writes that Morrison has ignited the superannuation culture war in the final stretch of the campaign.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/morrison-ignites-superannuation-culture-war-in-final-stretch-20220516-p5alu9.html
    Scott Morrison’s super-for-housing plan has drawn criticism, but the idea might appeal to first time home buyers, says the SMH editorial.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/aspiring-young-buyers-must-have-a-voice-in-housing-policy-20220516-p5alsv.html
    Greg Jericho puts on the table five housing policies that wouldn’t drive up prices in Australia.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2022/may/16/five-housing-policies-that-wouldnt-drive-up-prices-in-australia
    Greg Sheridan writes, “Superannuation belongs to individuals. They should decide how it’s spent, not a faceless bureaucracy, whether government or superannuation fund. Numerous nations allow super to be used for housing. The Liberal policy is actually too restrictive. Forcing people to put the deposit money back into super if they sell will trap them in their first home.” This is from an article where he laments truth being a casualty in the PM’s preference for spin over substance.
    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/truth-a-casualty-in-pms-preference-for-spin-over-substance/news-story/affd2ddccabd39e922813c9a6e1e3209
    Some of the biggest policy challenges of our time are going unaddressed as complexity gets crunched down into three-word slogans, laments Katherine Murphy who provides six examples of how policy loses out to soundbites.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/17/the-rise-of-catchphrase-politics-six-examples-of-how-policy-loses-out-to-soundbites
    Elizabeth Redman contrasts the Labor and Liberal housing schemes.
    https://www.smh.com.au/property/news/will-first-home-buyers-be-better-off-using-the-liberal-or-labor-low-deposit-schemes-20220513-p5al1a.html
    Steven Hamilton also compares the two housing policies.
    https://theconversation.com/super-for-housing-or-the-government-as-a-co-owner-how-liberal-and-labor-home-buyer-schemes-compare-183113
    The Coalition and Labor both claim to be helping first home buyers with government assistance. Neither wants to acknowledge the economic reality that rising interest rates mean house prices are likely to go down rather than up, at least in the short term, writes Jennifer Hewett.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/housing-opens-up-a-philosophical-divide-20220516-p5alsr
    The time for lazy, comfortable government is over, declares Alan Kohler.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/finance/finance-news/2022/05/16/productivity-lazy-government-alan-kohler/
    Anthony Albanese’s campaign slogan is the rather bland “A Better Future”. Labor does not promise a bolder, courageous, more inspiring or innovative government. No revolution. No remaking Australia. Just better. It must be working because Morrison has adopted this theme as his own, writes Troy Bramston.
    https://amp.theaustralian.com.au/commentary/morrisons-pitch-vindicates-labors-campaign-strategy/news-story/d17bbafa3947f61a2d36b4cec6095ec1
    Property developers are blaming lengthy state planning processes for an undersupply of housing that is pushing up prices, amid claims developers are also drip-feeding new supply into the market to boost their returns, explains Jackson Graham.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/developers-blame-planners-for-limited-housing-supply-critics-say-they-re-banking-land-20220516-p5alrl.html
    For The Conversation, six politics experts take us around Australia in the final week of the campaign.
    https://theconversation.com/state-of-the-states-six-politics-experts-take-us-around-australia-in-the-final-week-of-the-campaign-183099
    Graham Young explains why Albo wins, and ScoMo loses, with women voters. He says Morrison’s real women problem is not that he is a misogynist, just that the man he represents has fallen out of fashion. The Liberals are going to need to plot their way around this, or they will be in the wilderness for quite some time.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/why-albo-wins-and-scomo-loses-with-women-voters-20220515-p5alio
    Mark Buckley explains how the IPA has captured our government.
    https://theaimn.com/the-ipa-has-captured-our-government/
    Like it or not, winning elections has as much to do with perception as it does with policy, opines Jessica Mizrahi.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/may/16/like-it-or-not-winning-elections-has-as-much-to-do-with-perception-as-it-does-with-policy
    Ronald Mizen tells us how the Teal independent member for Warringah Zali Steggall unloaded on Prime Minister Scott Morrison at a National Press Club debate in Canberra, saying she questioned his trustworthiness and moral compass.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/zali-steggall-unloads-on-scott-morrison-in-debate-20220516-p5almt
    Federal Labor will go to the election on Saturday promising larger debt and deficits than the Coalition, but argue the extra spending is necessary to lift productivity. Phil Coorey tells us that the Coalition’s own costings to be released on Tuesday will show a $1 billion improvement to the budget bottom line since the March 29 budget, but the cumulative deficit over four years could be between $10 billion and $15 billion larger under Labor, based on its promises so far.
    https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/labor-costings-to-contain-bigger-debt-and-deficit-20220516-p5allh
    The incredible reality of the 2022 election is that with deficits forecast into the 2030s and gross debt expected to soar to $1.2 trillion, neither the Coalition nor Labor has a credible framework for fiscal repair to bring the budget back to balance, says the AFR’s editorial.
    https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/reckless-budget-populism-must-stop-20220515-p5alin
    Anthony Galloway and Peter Hartcher tell us that Labor leader Anthony Albanese will bring a package of South-East Asia policies to a meeting of the Quad grouping next week if he is elected prime minister.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/albanese-to-take-south-east-asia-package-to-quad-meeting-if-elected-20220516-p5alst.html
    Hartcher looks at the “three rings” China policy where he identifies the middle ring, SE Asia, as the weakest and opines that Australia has to work much harder now to wield influence across the region, a frontline in China’s campaign for dominance of the entire Indo-Pacific. The Labor policy isn’t grand or transformative; it is, however, positive and incremental, he says.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/labor-s-missing-middle-strategy-avoids-asking-region-to-take-sides-on-china-20220516-p5allz.html
    If Penny Wong becomes foreign minister, will she repeat the numerous blunders Australia and the US have made in the Pacific, wonders Brian Toohey.
    https://johnmenadue.com/wong-foreign-minister-lessons-australia-us-pacific/
    The 93-year-old daughter of Robert Menzies says she doesn’t want to die with someone other than a Liberal in her father’s old seat. But like many lifelong Liberal voters, she is also worried at what has happened to the party her father founded.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/menzies-daughter-urges-kooyong-to-keep-frydenberg-but-tells-liberals-to-change-20220516-p5allj.html
    Jess Irvine thinks young people should be engaging in a conversation about whether they want as much of their money going off to fund their retirement versus keeping more in their pockets to buy property.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/super-v-housing-it-s-time-young-people-had-that-debate-20220516-p5alru.html
    Only a super salesman like Scott Morrison would think of trying to convert a negative attribute – bully – into something that has perhaps a small positive connotation – bulldozer. But that’s at least partly what last Friday’s makeover was about, says David Solomon.
    https://johnmenadue.com/morrison-a-more-empathetic-consultative-bulldozer/
    Taxpayers have the right to wonder what the federal government is doing promising money for small projects that used to be the domain of local councils and community groups, opines Katina Curtis.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/should-taxpayers-be-footing-the-bill-for-murals-dog-parks-and-footy-jumpers-20220516-p5almp.html
    More than 70% of aged care workers are yet to receive a single payment through the Morrison government’s pandemic bonus scheme four months after it was announced, staff polling suggests.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/17/over-70-of-australias-aged-care-workers-yet-to-receive-800-pandemic-bonus-poll-suggests
    The news media’s framing of debates about wage rises reveals subtle yet powerful class bias is alive and well in the mainstream media, writes Victoria Fielding.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/media-framing-of-wage-rises-shows-deep-ideological-bias,16362
    Anthony Albanese and Tanya Plibersek taunt Scott Morrison, calling on him to identify who is actually education minister – the disgraced Alan Tudge or the disgraceful Stuart Robert – but Labor has questions of its own to answer on education says Chris Bonnor.
    https://johnmenadue.com/no-education-minister-opposition-without-school-funding-policy/
    Ben Smee reveals that the home affairs minister, Karen Andrews, has sought to block federal funding for a Gold Coast light rail expansion that would run directly past an investment property she co-owns with her husband.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/17/karen-andrews-seeks-to-block-funding-for-gold-coast-light-rail-that-would-run-past-her-property
    Nick Miller isn’t impressed with Labor’s arts policy.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/should-taxpayers-be-footing-the-bill-for-murals-dog-parks-and-footy-jumpers-20220516-p5almp.html
    A bastion of conservative Christian politics, the electorate of Groom has become a frontline in the battle for the soul of the Coalition. And while religion barely rates a mention in the official campaign for Groom, there are concerns about the rising influence of Pentecostalism, which could explain why the second safest seat in the country has suddenly become seen as one to watch, writes Joe Hinchliffe.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/17/pentecostalism-and-the-lnps-fight-for-its-soul-in-queenslands-darling-downs
    Voluntary assisted dying laws should pass the state’s parliament unchanged, NSW Deputy Nationals leader Bronnie Taylor says, with no excuse for amendments that are deliberately hostile. Alexandra Smith says that assisted dying will be legalised in NSW as early as Wednesday when the bill passes the final hurdle in the upper house. But there are fears opponents could use amendments to slow down the process.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/assisted-dying-bill-should-pass-unchanged-deputy-nats-leader-says-20220516-p5alrr.html
    However, medical specialists Marion Harris and John Obeid say that if VAD is to be legalised in NSW, there’s no room for error. They outline the amendments they would like to see.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/nsw/if-vad-is-to-be-legalised-in-nsw-there-s-no-room-for-error-20220514-p5alcq.html
    Angus Thompson reports that in a landmark decision, the Fair Work Commission has held workers should be able to access the leave on a yearly basis at their base rate of pay.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/millions-entitled-to-10-days-paid-domestic-violence-leave-after-historic-win-20220516-p5alsu.html
    In 2019, Australia had the oldest age structure of net migration on record. Rather than immigration slowing the rate of population ageing as it has for most of our history, in 2019, the rate was accelerated, explains Abul Rizvi.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/somehow-immigration-made-us-older-in-2019,16363
    The state branch of the Australian Medical Association in Victoria says people need to go above and beyond current rules to help ease ambulance ramping and hospital overcrowding.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/doctors-plead-with-victorians-to-wear-masks-for-the-good-of-us-all-20220516-p5almn.html
    Christopher Knaus writes that the federal government has successfully blocked Bernard Collaery from obtaining key documents about the lawfulness of the notorious spy operation against Timor-Leste, arguing that questions about its legality are irrelevant.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2022/may/16/government-successfully-blocks-bernard-collaery-from-obtaining-documents-on-legality-of-spy-mission
    Elizabeth Knight looks at the Brambles and CHEP pallet business. If a company can’t make a decent, but fair, profit out of this business something is wrong. Once a pallet goes into circulation and not returned to the company, SOMEONE is paying a daily rental. If user companies are not fastidious with record keeping and disciplined return or transfer, they will be on the drip for a long time. Twenty five years ago the company I worked for had racked up a $2,2 million liability and I was given the task to clean it up. It was almost an impossibility to analyse the archaic paper systems.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/who-knew-chep-pallets-were-sexy-prey-corporate-vultures-of-course-20220516-p5alra.html
    Boris Johnson created this Brexit mess in Northern Ireland – and he should own it, exhorts Simon Jenkins.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2022/may/16/boris-johnson-brexit-mess-northern-ireland-dup
    The top Catholic clergyman in the Holy Land has condemned the Israeli police beating of mourners carrying the casket of Al Jazeera journalist Shireen Abu Aqleh, accusing the authorities of violating human rights and disrespecting the Catholic church. No doubt she will be branded anti-Sematic.
    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2022/may/16/catholic-condemns-police-shireen-abu-aqleh-funeral-israel
    Stephen Bartholomeusz writes that it would appear that Musk has belatedly recognised that he’s at risk of paying far too much for Twitter and, given the continuing implosion in sharemarkets, putting a massive amount of his personal wealth in jeopardy and destabilising the already sliding Tesla share price in the process.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/elon-musk-needs-an-exit-from-his-ill-timed-twitter-bid-20220516-p5allp.html
    The massacre by a white supremacist gunman of Black shoppers at a Buffalo grocery store has drawn renewed scrutiny of Republican figures in the US who have embraced the racist “great replacement theory” he is alleged to have used as justification for the murders.
    https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2022/may/16/buffalo-massacre-great-replacement-theory-republicans
    Vladimir Putin has appeared to climb down from Russia’s objections to Sweden and Finland joining NATO, saying Moscow had no issues with them entering the US-led military alliance they now aim to join in reaction to his invasion of Ukraine. Not so tough now!
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/no-problems-none-putin-appears-to-back-off-threats-as-sweden-finland-prepare-to-join-nato-20220517-p5alvv.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Matt Golding




    Alan Moir

    David Rowe

    Cathy Wilcox

    Fiona Katauskas

    John Shakespeare


    Glen Le Lievre

    Andrew Dyson

    Peter Broelman

    Mark Knight

    Dionne Gain

    Spooner

    From the US










  19. Only a super salesman like Scott Morrison would think of trying to convert a negative attribute – bully – into something that has perhaps a small positive connotation – bulldozer.

    Some accidental honesty ? A bulldozer was colloquially called a ‘bully’ where I grew up.

    • He can call himself whatever he likes but he is still the same misogynistic, bullying, lazy, lying, incompetent waste of space he has always been.

  20. A very interesting thread –

    Apologies if anyone saw my earlier post – I posted the wrong tweet.

  21. Well here’s some news that will brighten your day –

    FREE SPEECH: Peter Dutton has been left reeling after losing his defamation case against refugee advocate Shane Bazzi on appeal over a deleted tweet which labelled Dutton a “rape apologist”. Dutton will pay most of Mr Bazzi's legal costs, according to David Shoebridge. #auspol— PRGuy (@PRGuy17) May 17, 2022

  22. The online Daily Tellsmecrap takes a ‘don’t mention the war’ approach to the election. Top of page headlines are “Is this Sydney’s worst cocktail bar?” and “Dean Pay’s dire warning to the next Bulldogs coach”. First 17 headlines, 2 small ones to do with teh election.
    https://www.dailytelegraph.com.au/

  23. SfM’s women problem. They noted there was near universal criticism of SfM’s handling of the Me Too stuff.

    Fifty young women voters with very similar views on Scott Morrison – and barely one good thing to say about him.


    Which ties in with The West’s top of the online page’s…

    HALF-FEMALE CAUCUS
    Albo declares ‘women’s revolution’ if Labor wins key seats

    It will be a women’s revolution if Labor wins the key seats of Swan, Hasluck and Pearce, Anthony Albanese has declared, hoping for a half-female caucus.

    Rebecca Le May

    https://thewest.com.au/news/anthony-albanese-declares-a-labor-win-in-swan-hasluck-and-pearce-would-be-a-womens-revolution-c-6822588

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