Election 2019

Well Pubsters here we go. After many tears and years we have finally arrived at Election time. 2019. Contrary to polls for years this will be a close and nail biting time .

The bookies are all saying Labor are a shoe in and in my experience and to my bank balance are very rarely wrong

All starts from now on and updates  will continue .

Lets have fun and hopefully celebrate a labor victory on Sunday Morning.

With The Boss’s kind permission, I am adding links to Gippsland Laborite’s and Vote 1 Julia’s analyses here, in case anyone wants to refer to them.

NSW: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/new-south-wales-2.pdf

QLD: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/queensland-1.pdf

SA: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/south-australia-1.pdf

TAS: “https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/tasmania-5.pdf

VIC: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/victoria-3.pdf

WA: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/western-australia-1.pdf

ACT: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/act-4.pdf

NT: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/nt-4.pdf

Independent and minor party candidates: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/05/federal-seat-1.pdf

701 thoughts on “Election 2019

  1. Was this why Mitch Fifield got booted off to the UN?

    Henderson is one of FauxMo’s pets, he chose her to open his one man band campaign launch, he’d love to have her back in his shoddy farce of a government.

    • Fifield is thick as a brick. His fronting Australia at the UN is a disgrace.

      And with all that is going on in the Senate hand-outs, PJK was right in calling them unrepresentative swill.

  2. I don’t know what Kevin Bonham was on about with his postal votes comment. It’s easy to find out precise numbers on votes still waiting in the queue. Maybe Kevin just uses the ABC site, which does not contain the detail the AEC site has.

    The AEC clearly states how many postal votes were issued for any given electorate, how many were actually returned, how many were rejected for some sort of fault and how many are waiting to be processed.

    The same detail is given for all the other late votes – absentee, declaration, whatever.

    This is the latest count for Macquarie (Go Susan Templeman!). Way down at the bottom of the page we are shown there are still 220 postal votes waiting to be processed plus another 2032 other types of votes still waiting.

    • Susan is a friend of mine (I am a lucky person). Over the last week she has moved from almost 200 in arrears to over 60 in front. As she hit the lead today, it was the first moment of political joy I have had since the counting of votes started last Saturday week night.

      I may well be wrong, but, in the words from My Fair Lady, “i think she;s got it, I think she’s got it”.

  3. Not a-bloody-gain!

    We’re back to the msm doing Bad Labor!

    A factional brawl is set to erupt within the Labor party over concerns the party’s right faction may block Kristina Keneally’s elevation to the front bench.

    New leader Anthony Albanese, who has indicated he wants to see more women in senior roles, is understood to have prevailed upon the party’s right faction to include Keneally in the group of MPs it wants in the shadow ministry.

    But the NSW right, of which Keneally is a member, is blocking her elevation, leading to pressure on South Australian factional powerbroker Don Farrell to make way for the former NSW premier by sacrificing his own position as deputy Senate leader.

    The brawl is set to come to a head on Thursday, when the party’s factions put forward the names of MPs that will make up Albanese’s new front bench.


    Talk about making mountains out of molehills.

    • If it is so, so what? Everyone knows that is the ALP. Why do you think the leaders who get to the top are as good as they are? Because they put 2mill into the party or are friends with the clives of this world? The only ALP factionless leader I can think of is Rudd, although I am in the dark on most ALP faction-matters.

      And the Libs and Nats have their own factions, they just have journalistic-proof fences around theirs.

      Yes, there are some good points to come out of faction-fighting, after all.

  4. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Ross Gittins says it’s a bit of a worry for Morrison as the RBA is running out of bullets. Gittins busts the economic illusion that Morrison spruiked before the election.
    Latika Bourke looks at how Albanese might set up his shadow ministry.
    And Sarah Martin writes that a factional brawl is set to erupt within the Labor party over concerns the party’s right faction may block Kristina Keneally’s elevation to the frontbench.
    Jody Fassina explains why the Hanson threat is now to Labor as opposed to the Coalition.
    Simon Benson reports that the government is set to rol out it’s “big stick” on energy pricing. (Google).


    Michael Koziol writes about Dutton’s new protegé Jason Wood defending his “ African gangs” election effort.
    The Conversation takes a closer look at Scott Morrison’s new ministry.
    David Crowe reports that Canavan has claimed a mandate for coal-fired power and backed a new power station proposal. We are going to hear that spurious term “mandate” quite a lot!
    The Commonwealth Bank’s incoming home loan applications jumped to a 10-month high in the week following the Coalition’s surprise election win.
    The SMH editorial calls for John Setka to stand down from his CFMMEU role given his criminal guilty plea.
    The AFR says that political infighting and a high turnover of leaders has left Australia with waning diplomatic influence across Asia.
    If you are not of Morrison’s faith, your Prime Minister believes you will endure eternal damnation in a lake of fire and brimstone. This is a literal belief — it is not a metaphor, writes Dr Jennifer Wilson.
    ‘Egg boy’ Will Connolly is donating the crowd-funded $100,000 to help the Christchurch mosque attack survivors.
    According to James Hulme Sydney has to get serious about water recycling.
    Elizabeth Knight outlines CBA’s ambitious plans to bring in new customers.
    The fix is in! Defying all odds, prospects for Adani’s coal mine in the Galilee Basin have never looked better. This is a risk for Australia, and the world. Energy expert Tim Buckley reports on the world’s most controversial mining project, Carmichael.
    Clay Lucas reports that the Victorian government will tackle the state’s flammable cladding crisis – but only where it is the owner of the building.
    Malaysia has warned of showing “no mercy” in its war on waste as it prepares to send containers of stinking rubbish back to Australia.
    Australia is on track to achieve 50% renewable electricity by 2030 even without new federal energy policies, according to modelling by the energy analysts RepuTex.
    Analysts believe the post-election bounce will not last and are encouraging investors to look outside Australian equities.
    The huge pools of capital around the world have pushed valuations towards a peak not seen since before the global financial crisis, says the founder of private equity firm BGH, Ben Gray.
    Australia’s public psychiatric system is in slow and painful decline, with “profoundly disillusioned” psychiatrists leaving for private practice, senior specialists warn.
    The quality of corporate audits by the big four firms in Australia has been questioned by ASIC, a parliamentary committee and the government’s independent adviser on the financial reporting framework and audit quality and there are calls to reveal audit quality data.
    The European Union will not renegotiate the Brexit deal that Prime Minister Theresa May agreed, Commission president Jean-Claude Juncker said on Tuesday, as concerns grew that a successor to May could trigger a confrontation with the bloc.

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe and the pests Albo might find in Queensland.

    Cathy Wilcox goes to Manus Island.

    John Shakespeare and the Mount Everest issue.

    From Matt Golding.

    David Pope sends Arfur off o Washington.

    Fiona Katauskas is not happy about the treatment of refugees.

    Zanetti sets Albo off for his Queensland tour.

    Sean Leahy and Albo’s Master Voice.

    Jon Kudelka pokes a stick at Morrison’s humility.

    From the US.

  5. Welcome back, BK.

    Leone, thanks for posting BK’s links while he had a break from The Pub.

    Razz is okay, hopefully will spend a bit of time awake today. She will be back home Friday, minus her three little piggies.

  6. Has anyone else noticed the sudden rush of National ministers wanting to talk about praying?

    Michael McCormack started it with his inane “pray for rain” drought management strategy. Then Bridget McKenzie joined in with blather about praying –

    “I am a person of faith, so I do pray for rain but I also believe in the separation of church and state,” Senator McKenzie said.

    “So whilst I personally pray for rain, I think as Minister for Agriculture, working closely with David Littleproud as minister responsible for the drought taskforce, I believe in getting practical responses on the ground to those farmers doing it tough at the moment.”

    It comes after Nationals leader Michael McCormack said praying for rain was one of his drought response policies


    I’ve never noticed Bridget talking about her “faith” before, or mentioning the importance of prayer as a management strategy. She has, in the past, been referred to as a Protestant and someone who believes in God, but that’s it. Now this proven liar and cheat is preaching the virtue of prayer at us.

    Are they trying to impress FauxMo? Do they want something more for the Nats from our happy-clapper PM? Do they believe talking up their alleged faith is the way to win him over and get another Nat into the ministry?

    It’s all very suspicious, and it does not bode well for the separation of church and state under this farce of a government.

  7. leonetwo

    Something else those two have in common. In interviews both sound like contenders for ‘least sharp knife in the drawer’ . I guess it must be a very desirable attribute in Nat. circles.

    • The dumber the better as far as Nats are concerned. I look at what represents us here, state and federal, and who has preceded them, and honestly, you’d be hard pressed to find any intelligence among the lot of them, even the ones who have been lawyers and doctors.

      They all excel at one thing though – arrogance. They have that in truckloads.

  8. Hi Pubsters,

    I am in the backblocks of WA and have kept right away from post election stuff for the last week. Also I am recovering from a dreadful cold that kept me in bed.

    I just realised that here, on this un-named for privacy, Aboriginal Community there is no newspapers except the local school newsletter. They must not be sold here because no-one is interested.

    TV and Internet are available so who needs to pay for newspaper except it would be good for scaling fish on. OK, yes I am near the ocean and Broome is the nearest, (hahaha would not Brits et al find that incomprehensible?) by a few hundred kms, town.

    I know we did not win, and the forces of darkness, enabled by Clive’s greed and sociopathy, did not win either. They take power, but with the prospect of negotiating the very landmines they laid for the Labor Party, the expected winners.

    I will see how I go, I am quite busy up here, at least when not laid out by a cold I always seem to get after plane flights. (Counter measures, such as wearing gloves and using hand sani, or a full hazmat mask?)

    Oh, my smartphone refuses to log me in, so I can only post on my laptop.

    • Has the Media Watch bloke ever been interesting? Fancy having these 2 men on the programme. And comparing Palmer’s loss to Labor’s loss.

    • Not really.
      Did anyone during the election campaign see if Media Watch pulled up any of those false adverts doing the rounds and the media’s failure to report on that action? It was so close to the USA social media take-over for their last election, and yet no-one in our media was awake to the happenings?

      Or did Rupert frown at its mention in polite company?

  9. Oh, and today is the funeral of a person who started out as a client I was looking after and ended up as a dear friend. We clicked as contempories and of similar attributes.

    Least said, tobacco companies, lung cancer and slow medical response saw her go from un-noticed stage one to stage three and death in 18 months.

    My mourning is anger.
    I will rewatch this movie. https://youtu.be/jiZERmW-Cs4

  10. Leone,
    I am mindful that children do not choose their parents and I have my doubts that a happer-clapper parent is going to do much for a girl’s self-reliance and esteem.

    But on the topic that photo raises, this may explain much. I perused a few other pages of it, and it scares me how far from my understanding of Christianity this is, fostered in a church in a low income area where the local Anglican priest was a member of MOW, the Movement of the Ordination of Women. Hell, this is not the stuff he preached, or should I say, let into discussions of such topics.


    The stuff about the cross-dressing is downright nuts. Is this why when I was young all women’s slacks had zippers at the sides and it was embarrassing to put on anything with a front fly? I remember putting on my brother’s old trousers to do some dirty work, and felt really ‘unright’ to have a zipper in the front.

    Maybe is was a rural thing.

    • I don’t think FauxMo’s church enforces a dress code.

      From what I’ve seen of FauxMo’s wife and daughters their dress is not always what a strict religious person might call “modest”. .Mrs FauxMo favours plunging necklines and strappy or off-the-shoulder frocks.

      There must be designers of frocks for young ladies clamouring to be allowed to dress these two girls. I’m sure they could do better than today’s outfits.

      I remember those zipper in the side slacks. I rebelled by having a pair of jeans with a very prominent, exposed brass zip down the front, and a pair of very nice pants that closed with black buttons at the front. Both garments were white, so the closings were a feature. It wasn’t a rural thing, I remember struggling with those damn side zippers when I started learning to sew.

  11. Maybe there had to be a injunction against women wearing men’s clothing, in case women put on men’s clothing to get to places they were not allowed, and vice versa? I try to bring religious edict back to the probably practical aspect of the tribe, for better word, would set up a rule and have it set by the religious elder. Not eating pork to stop disease, covering men and women to prevent insect bites and getting covered in filth. Staying inside so the bearers of the wealth, the women in their adornments, don’t get stolen. Christians for example keeping wealth in the family be making sure a female only paired with selected a selected man.

    Many women historically dressed as men to gain access to careers or resources, or more interesting lives of less restriction.

    Anyway there would be PhDs aplenty on the subject.

  12. Pretty classy

    Labor’s Ed Husic will step down from the shadow ministry to make way for New South Wales senator Kristina Keneally.

    The party’s new leader, Anthony Albanese, had made it clear he expected Keneally to be among those put forward for promotion amid fears her own faction would block her.

    Before a meeting of the New South Wales right on Wednesday, Husic said he would not be running for a frontbench role despite having “loved” being in Bill Shorten’s shadow ministry.

    “Instead I’ll be backing my great friend Kristina Keneally for that spot,” Husic wrote on Facebook. “We need to ensure someone of Kristina’s enormous talents has the opportunity to make a powerful contribution on the frontline, in the Senate.

    “In the aftermath of the federal election, there are things we need to do to rebuild our standing – especially in the place I love, western Sydney – and I’ll be doing just that.

    “Appreciate everyone’s support – but let’s get moving to elect an Albanese Labor government.”


  13. Razz is coming home tomorrow. Her pain level is back to normal, hooray, and she didn’t fall asleep on me once, but I nearly fell asleep on her. I think it was all the sitting around in the airconditioning that made me dopey. Got a very rude shock when I went outside. BRRRR.

  14. ducky
    hmm. there is a whole social history just in vintage home dressmaking patterns. some of these my Mum described as her ‘going out’ dresses. Tightly belted ballerina (calf) length skirts over a starched petticoat or two, and a tulle petticoat for filling out. (Meoldema was from the good-looking branch of the family). Dances were alcohol-free and no girl refused the poor sod who worked up enough courage to cross the room to ask for a turn at proper dancing. (so I am told, it was an unwritten rule. so long as he minded his p’s and q’s)

  15. Leonetwo
    I will bypass the video, thanks. The less I see of that crazy (appropriate Aussie cusswords) smirker the better for my calmness.

    It is a pity the people in Dutton’s seat refuse to see pure evil when it is front of them. Each and every one of them should get a weekly update with pictures of what their vote is doing. (not including ALP voters.)

  16. Feeling somewhat better today because it seems now very likely that Labor will hold on in Macquarie, since Susan Templeman’s lead has increased to 282 votes.

    I just hope this term won’t be like the 2001-2004 term with only bitter defeat at the end of it again.

  17. Randy Rainbow (with some not quite covert insinuations, make up your own mind but I’m convinced)

  18. Wednesday, May 29

    Happily for Labor, my supposition that there wouldn’t be too many absents left in Macquarie was misplaced – a new batch today broke a handy 402-259 their way. The latest batch of out-of-division pre-polls also surprised in breaking 316-170 for Labor. This extends Labor’s lead from 67 to 282, and there wouldn’t be much more still out there than 500 or so pre-polls and 300 postals – unless I’m still wrong about absents, in which case Labor’s lead should widen further.

    If any doubt remained in Cowan, it was dealt with by today’s 1456-1061 break to Labor on absents, along with 106-87 on the latest postals. This pushes the Labor lead from 825 to 1239, which means Labor’s lead here is actually greater than it is in Eden-Monaro and Lilley.


  19. Interesting

    The result of the election in Northern Ireland has not been the attention it deserves. The combined votes of the anti-Brexit parties comes to 57 % (Sinn Féin 22 %, Alliance 19 %, SDLP 14 % and Greens 2 %) while the pro-Brexit parties won only 43 % (DUP 22 %, TUV 11 %, UUP 9 %, UKIP 1 % and Conservatives 0 %).

    Op. cit.

    • Marvellous, I want some foliage trees on my Tassie block (once the house is built, that is) so could I ask what type of trees they are?

      Little sad note: a few years ago I would have copied your images to show to my friend Annie in California, to distract her from her troubles. Alas she died nearly 3 years ago now—emphysema and lung cancer.

  20. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    They’re off and running! Conservative Coalition MPs emboldened by strong support from religious voters at the election are pushing the Morrison government for more radical and far-reaching religious freedom provisions in forthcoming laws.
    And the same might be said about the ABC given what Ita Buttrose has just said.
    David Wroe says that Trump is harming Australia’s reputation and that our government is unnecessarily relaxed about it.
    And he tells us that Alexander Downer has ridiculed the idea he was sent to spy on a junior Donald Trump campaign aide as part of an international conspiracy to kickstart the FBI’s Russia probe.
    Michael Koziol reports that an Australian navy vessel brought 20 Sri Lankan asylum seekers to the Christmas Island detention centre where they were held for a number of days before being sent home on Wednesday. Was it the pull factor?
    Phil Coorey shows us how ability has taken a back seat to factional alignment in the choice of Labor frontbenchers.
    John Wanna writes that policies, not posturing, will help Albanese shake the ‘left-wing’ tag and restore faith in his party.
    Michelle Pini says that in the latest Cabinet reshuffle, regurgitated and newly appointed ministers, some with questionable credentials, to say the least, have already been waxing lyrical about the supposed “mandate” for the most objectionable of the Government’s policies.
    Sarah Martin also contributes on the above issue.
    Jennifer Hewett tells us about a gung ho Angus Taylor saying that bipartisanship means accepting what the government wants when it comes to the energy “big stick”.
    According to Scott Colvin the way Australia votes is broken.
    Stephen Koukoulas explains why you need to buy a house NOW!
    Christopher Knaus reports that Defence has been ordered to hand over the navy chief’s diary to the senator investigating a particular arms contract. Nice work from Rex Patrick.
    The AFR says borrowers will be the beneficiaries of a likely cut to the cash rate next week, as banks prepare to reset mortgage rates to fresh record lows.
    Nick Bonyhady reports that Anthony Albanese has confirmed Bill Shorten will be given a place on the Labor frontbench if the former opposition leader wants one.
    The SMH editorial says that Albanese should not be shy of changing course.
    Andrew Mackenzie tells us why BHP backs an Indigenous voice to parliament.
    Michael Pascoe has great concern for the integrity of Frydenberg’s review of the retirement income system. A good read!
    In an excellent contribution the director of the drug and alcohol unit at St Vincent’s Hospital puts the case to retain Sydney’s lockout laws.
    The science says one of our most endangered bird species – the black-throated finch – is at serious risk under the present Adani plan to dig up the Galilee Basin for coal. Research professor Bill Laurance pleads for the Queensland Co-ordinator-Genera to take this into account when bringing down the decision on Adani’s plan by tomorrow.
    Doug Dingwall reports that the federal government’s largest department will rebrand for the first time in its 15-year life as newly sworn Prime Minister Scott Morrison puts it at the centre of plans to overhaul the bureaucracy’s dealings with the public.
    Richard Denniss posits that while Australian political debate has never seemed more sharply divided, the philosophical lines between left and right have never seemed more blurred.
    Stephen Bartholomeusz explains how while it might have made a somewhat belated start to that process, the T22 program offers the potential to create a new and more nimble Telstra and, therefore, the news that it is reaching its milestones ahead of schedule is positive, despite the extra red ink in this year’s accounts.
    Centrelink staff have continued to issue welfare debts they know could be incorrect under pressure to meet performance targets despite the government’s efforts to reform the controversial scheme, employees have alleged.
    Patrick Hatch goes into how Coles and Woolies’ secret weapon in war with Aldi is data analytics.
    Lisa Martin reports that Australia and New Zealand’s health star food rating system has been dismissed as flawed in a new study because salty, sugary and fatty products are scoring too highly due to loopholes in the system and unhealthy items often avoid carrying the labels entirely.
    This contribution in The Conversation explains how homelessness has soared in our biggest cities, driven by rising inequality since 2001.
    Mental giant Matt Canavan has shrugged off Australia’s further greenhouse gas emissions increase.
    Missouri may lose its last abortion clinic this week. That’s dark news for all in the US writes Jill Filipovic.
    Nick Miller has a look at what the charges against Boris Johnson for lying during the Brexit referendum campaign might mean for him.
    This charming lady is the first person subject to an Unexplained Wealth Order, which allows British authorities to seize assets from people suspected of corruption or links to organised crime until the owners account for how they were acquired. She certainly has no compunction in squandering it!
    Matthew Knott outlines what Robert Muller said in his first outing after the release of his report.
    Nancy Pelosi has called Facebook executives ‘willing enablers’ of Russian interference.
    Bloomberg continues to dig as it reports that an Ethiopian Airlines pilot told senior managers at the carrier months before one of its Boeing 737 MAX jets crashed that more training and better communication to crew members was needed to avert a repeat of a similar disaster involving a Lion Air flight.
    Have a look at this! Our phones are beavering away while we are asleep sending all sorts of data about us to third parties.

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe uses Everest to make his point.

    Cathy Wilcox with Morrison’s economic miracle.

    From Matt Golding.

    Nice work here from Andrew Dyson.

    David Pope sings Albo’s problems.

    John Shakespeare on the indigenous voice.


    Glen Le Lievre and what interests Australia.

    Jon Kudelka takes aim at Warren Entsch.

    From the US

  21. And it gets worse – two ministers kicked out of Turnbull’s ministry for corrupt activities – Ley and Robert – now promoted to Cabinet. Robert promoted not because of ability (he has none) but because he’s a Pentecostal and FauxMo likes to reward and surround himself with religious nutters. I presume Ley is there because she is a woman, and women are in short supply among the ranks of the government.

    Michaelia Cash, still there despite the huge legal clouds hanging over her. She too is (allegedly) a woman.

    Hillsong church attendee Alex Hawke kept in the outer ministry in a Mickey Mouse portfolio just because he’s another happy clapper and a close FauxMo ally.

    The FaiuxMo ministry is a sad array of incompetents, nutters and the plain evil.

    Do we see any journalistic comment on this? No, we do not. All we get is constant criticism of Labor and of Albo’s new ministry, which has not even been revealed yet. Emotive language is used to describe Labor’s plans, the most popular word seems to be “brawl” closely followed by “factions”.

    It may come as a shock to most journalists, but the Libs have factions too, and they are more divisive and more problematic than Labor’s could ever be. We all know how powerful the far right nutter faction has been in damaging this country. That faction dictates climate policy, that’s why this government has none. Now we have a new faction to contend with – the members of FauxMo’s cult. Does any of this get a mention? Nope. I had to search hard to even find information on who is in or out of the ministry and who has been promoted or demoted.

    This is the best I could find.

  22. 3% ! OMG ! the BCA etc will be having a melt down over that increase.Declaring the four horsemen of the apocalypse will be arriving any day now .

    • Annnnnnnd here they come courtesy of Mordor Media of course.
      Wage rise puts jobs, small business at risk
      Business warns today’s three per cent minimum wage rise puts jobs in danger and risks the viability of some small businesses.


    • So predictable. That extra pay will also mean “small businesses” will have customers able to spend more money, but they never mention that.

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