Election 2019

Well Pubsters here we go. After many tears and years we have finally arrived at Election time. 2019. Contrary to polls for years this will be a close and nail biting time .

The bookies are all saying Labor are a shoe in and in my experience and to my bank balance are very rarely wrong

All starts from now on and updates  will continue .

Lets have fun and hopefully celebrate a labor victory on Sunday Morning.

With The Boss’s kind permission, I am adding links to Gippsland Laborite’s and Vote 1 Julia’s analyses here, in case anyone wants to refer to them.

NSW: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/new-south-wales-2.pdf

QLD: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/queensland-1.pdf

SA: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/south-australia-1.pdf

TAS: “https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/tasmania-5.pdf

VIC: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/victoria-3.pdf

WA: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/western-australia-1.pdf

ACT: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/act-4.pdf

NT: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/nt-4.pdf

Independent and minor party candidates: https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/05/federal-seat-1.pdf

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701 thoughts on “Election 2019

  1. Something you won’t see in Australia

    Although comparable countries such as the UK have begun to measure the national rate of wellbeing, New Zealand is the first western country to design its entire budget based on wellbeing priorities and instruct its ministries to design policies to improve wellbeing.

    As expected, mental health received the biggest funding and investment boost on record, receiving NZ$1.9bn (£980m). Half a billion was earmarked for the “missing middle” particularly – New Zealanders suffering from mild to moderate anxiety and depressive disorders that did not require hospitalisation but significantly affected their quality of life.

    Close to half a billion would be spent on new frontline mental health workers stationed in doctor’s surgeries and Indigenous clinics, with the government aiming to help 325,000 people with “mild to moderate” mental health and addiction needs by 2023/24.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/may/30/new-zealand-wellbeing-budget-jacinda-ardern-unveils-billions-to-care-for-most-vulnerable

  2. Puffy

    If you are around, Razz loved the flowers, and her very favourite is the sunflower. Thanks again. Hunter is overjoyed to have her home, his is busy running around after being depressed for the last couple of days while she was gone.

  3. TLBD

    Something you won’t see in Australia

    Something you will/would see in Australia.

    The opposition National party leader, Simon Bridges, slammed the budget ……….. “Most New Zealanders will be left asking themselves what’s in it for them”

  4. Add this to the list of inappropriate appointments by FauxMo –

    Australia’s New Envoy for the Great Barrier Reef Says it Doesn’t Need Saving
    Warren Entsch, an advocate for the Adani-Carmichael coalmine, is of the opinion that “we don’t need to save the reef.”

    Australia’s newly appointed Special Envoy for the Great Barrier Reef doesn’t think the World Heritage Area needs saving. Warren Entsch, a Queensland MP for the Liberal National Party, has dismissed the notion that the reef is currently facing a serious existential threat or that coral bleaching has worsened in recent years.

    “We don’t need to ‘save the reef’,” he told SBS. “The reef is functioning well. There are lots of challenges. We need to continue to manage it and meet all those challenges… [but] bleaching has been happening forever

    https://www.vice.com/en_au/article/wjvpdn/australias-new-special-envoy-great-barrier-reef-warren-entsch-says-it-doesnt-need-saving?utm_source=vicefblocalau

    • I have to wonder if Mr Entsch’s words would/might be taken as a statement of responsibility when the dead coral does not mitigate the fury of cyclones landing, yet more devastatingly, on the east coast of Queensland, should the reef fail to continue to ‘function well’?

  5. Yes i did pass the test thanks Puff,i have being accepted into this fine establishment once again.So after a couple of weeks of feeling heavily dissapointed i am starting to thaw out.It may have been mentioned before but i still think labor over calculated the intelligence of the voters.Anyway we move on and bring on 2022.

  6. Would those 20 asylum seekers, now on their way back to Sri Lanka, be the boat arrivals Dutton had hoped would embarrass a new Labor government just a week after it was elected?

    In case you missed the story –
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/boatload-of-20-sri-lankan-asylum-seekers-brought-to-christmas-island-report-20190529-p51skd.html

    It all sounds very suspicious. A convenient arrival of BOATS!!!! just days after the election, boats which left Sri Lanka two weeks before the election. Asylum seekers caught by the Navy (how very convenient they just happened to be in the right place at the right time) and taken to Christmas Island, conveniently re-opened and spruced up just weeks ago for FauxMo’s $185 million presser, and not a word said until someone conveniently told The Australian they were on their way back to Sri Lanka, where they will be imprisoned and/or tortured and probably executed.

    You can bet this would have been headline news if Labor had won. Headlines for days, all screaming about Labor being soft on boat people.

    • Totally agree with everything there leone, it is just the sort of low bastardry that these bastards are capable of. The only bit of schadenfreude we can take from the election is that all the time bombs left by the lnp will now be visited on them, however, don’t expect any negative press to be generated.

      Also just wanted to say that one of the reasons that I am so pleased the the pub will soldier is because I’ll still be able to absorb your fantastic insights and enjoy the fruits of your hard labour.

      Ta muchly.

    • Glad Wong in the Leadership team. Tough, smart and experienced.

      I think someone should have run against Albo, would mean he had to spell out hios leadership style, objectives and priorities. We do not know how he will go as Leader. At every spill he voted against Gillard and I find it hard to forgive that: a win at the next election will do it.

    • Who thought Richard Marles was a good choice for deputy leader?

      I read somewhere that he would be able to bring the factions together, but I wonder if that was just spin. I’m hoping I will be pleasantly surprised by whatever he does from now on, because I have not been impressed by him so far.

      Marles has had a show on Sky, with Christopher Pyne, for ages. The last episode was in March. I really, really hope he does not go back, it’s not a good look for any Labor MP, let alone a deputy leader.

    • Jim Chalmers was going to run for Leader: he should have been allowed to. Probably a better choice for deputy than Marles. No baggage for one thing.

  7. I am planning on camping on my Tassie block from 15 Sep next year to Dec 15. To that end had a look through a Anaconda store. Tents, chairs etc power source incl a 100ah battery I could barely lift and would wreck what is left of my shoulders.

    Was recommended to look at BCF, cheaper prices and a LiFePo battery weighing just 7Kg: can buy a solar panel as well for the price of the battery box at Anaconda. This would give me a fall back if ever the power failed on a stinking hot summers day—my little car fridge would keep 7L of food cool and good—am worried for my 98 (99 next summer) old Mum.

  8. Just filled in a questionaire from GetUp.

    Told them to stop poncing around and put resources where a coalition seat could be gained, not prize seats like Warringah and Dickson.

    • Also told them to stop helping the Greens—they are no friend to Labor, Bob Bloody Brown probably saved 3-4 Qld seats for the LNP. Deliberately IMHO.

    • Bob Brown’s caravan or whatever was obviously designed to damage Labor, either by forcing them to make a rash statement on Adani or by turning Labor voters to the Greens.

      Bob Brown is a disgrace I have never understood why he’s seen as some sort of greenie saint. He’s a nasty piece of work, obsessed with what he imagines is (still) his power over Australian politics.

      I have very clear memories of an interview he did after he blocked Rudd’s CPRS. “Smirk” doesn’t come anywhere near describing the look on his face. He boasted about the Greens getting their own, much better legislation through after the 2010 election, when he seriously thought the Greens would control the senate. Just like the CPRS, that did not happen.

  9. I think he’s been told he’s not getting his spot back in the Senate. My money’s still on Mundine.

    • Yeah, yeah, yeah.

      The problem for Molan is Arthur Sinodinos was not up for election. He will just create a casual vacancy when he heads off to the US, so it’s up to the party and the NSW government to decide on his replacement. It really doesn’t matter who was next on the ballot paper because it’s irrelevant.

      Molan shows his ignorance of political procedure with his nasty, jealous comments.

      He should have a quiet think about why he might have been given that unwinnable spot on the ballot paper. He might even work out that his own party did not want him to return. I don’t think his massive ego could take that much of a blow.

  10. The Marles-Pyne Sky gig is today’s version of the Rudd-Hockey Sky gig.

    Labor is insane in participating in anything like this: if we have to go with marketing spiel, this is the WORST way to achieve brand differentiation.

  11. Dutton says the asylum seeker boat arrival (which cynical persons might think he arranged), is all Labor’s fault.

    Sri Lankan asylum seeker boat a post-election border ‘test’, warns Peter Dutton

    Speaking to reporters in Brisbane, Mr Dutton said he believed the boat was a “test” to see whether Australia’s policy on boats had changed since the election earlier this month.

    “It’s clear to me that the people smugglers anticipated a Shorten-Labor government and no doubt they’ll be disappointed by the fact that didn’t happen,” he told reporters on Thursday

    https://www.sbs.com.au/news/sri-lankan-asylum-seeker-boat-a-post-election-border-test-warns-peter-dutton

    I call that a desperate attempt at arse-covering from a government keen to divert attention from the real issues they should be dealing with – you know, trivial stuff like a failing economy, more cuts to penalty rates, Australia’s emissions increasing for the fourth year running, suicides on Manus Island and the looming mass extinction of life on this planet.

    Nice try, Pete, but I don’t believe you.

    • 60,000 illegal immigrants entered the country by airplane and overstayed. Boats are so last decade.

  12. I said farewell to my father yesterday, a life long and staunch Labor man as we layed him to rest. One thing I’ve noticed here and over the road and most left leaning media is this all encompassing thought of woulda, coulda, shouda. In simple words Labor lost. Why? I have no idea. Can we win in 2022? again I have no idea. The only thought I can offer people who think somewhat the same as myself is to keep the faith. Talk to people and more importantly listen to them. If you do the second you’ll be surprised what people who aren’t politically engaged actually think and sometimes it aint pretty.

  13. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    Eryk Bagshaw opines that Labor’s loss is not just the fault of its economic team. He says much of the fault for the May 18 disaster also rests with those shadow ministers who pushed for an extra $32 billion to fund an array of spending programs and failed to sell them properly.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/labor-s-loss-is-not-just-the-fault-of-its-economic-team-20190530-p51sr6.html
    And David Crowe says Labor failed to understand the ‘aspirational’ voter.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/labor-failed-to-understand-the-aspirational-voter-20190530-p51sqq.html
    Bagshaw also reports that Anthony Albanese says Labor wants to be seen as pro-business as well as pro-worker.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/albanese-vows-to-work-with-alienated-business-20190530-p51srk.html
    James Packer has sold almost half of his stake in the casino operator in a deal that is set to spark questions about whether it breaches the conditions of its licence with the NSW government.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/james-packer-sells-1-76b-stake-in-crown-resorts-20190530-p51szy.html
    Michelle Grattan wonders if it good for Labor, or Bill Shorten, for the former leader to stay in parliament.
    https://theconversation.com/grattan-on-friday-is-it-good-for-labor-or-bill-shorten-for-the-former-leader-to-stay-in-parliament-118079
    Phil Coorey writes that Labor faces a big test on whether it will pass the income tax cuts. If it doesn’t, Morrison will be ready to whack them as enemies of getting ahead.
    https://www.outline.com/2Ng8Gv
    Scott Morrison has won government but he now has to win the economic and political challenge of governing, writes Jennifer Hewett.
    https://www.outline.com/W5sbdq
    Katharine Murphy explains how Labor is vexed over the Coalition’s tax plan that benefits the wealthy.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/30/labor-vexed-over-coalition-tax-plan-that-benefits-the-wealthy
    In a sobering contribution Stephen Bartholomeusz concludes that If the confrontation between the US and China continues to intensify, the global economy slows and China (whose growth shielded us from the global financial crisis) slows more than most, the RBA may have no option but to lower rates further, and perhaps even adopt the kind of unconventional monetary policies that the US and Europe resorted to in response to the global financial crisis.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/global-risks-are-rising-threatening-to-overwhelm-rba-s-rate-move-20190530-p51spa.html
    Simon Johanson writes that Fast-growing non-bank financiers expect to grab a 10 per cent share of Australia’s $300 billion commercial property lending sector as mainstream banks continue to limit their exposure to developers. An increasing number of development projects and property investments are being financed by non-bank lenders as developers and investors struggle to get funding through traditional banks.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/non-banks-to-snap-up-share-of-300b-property-as-big-four-pullback-20190529-p51si0.html
    The prudential regulator is poised to give smaller banks a leg up in the first of a series of announcements
    https://www.outline.com/DUcNtZ
    APRA is weeks away from releasing new standards for banker pay that seem certain to emphasise non-financial pay metrics.
    https://www.outline.com/DUcNtZ
    As Morrison heads to the Pacific, our nearest neighbours will be looking for more than kind words says Mark Kenny.
    https://theconversation.com/as-morrison-heads-to-the-pacific-our-nearest-neighbours-will-be-looking-for-more-than-kind-words-118037
    The climate crisis might be an inconvenience for the resources minister but the election result hasn’t changed basic facts, writes Katharine Murphy as she tells Canavan to stop waving his finger at at those who want climate action.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/30/matt-canavan-should-stop-wagging-his-finger-at-those-who-want-climate-action
    Tony Wright takes a bit of a swipe at Albo, saying that he may have the prolixity of Kim Beazley.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/anthony-albanese-risks-being-the-new-kim-beazley-20190530-p51suu.html
    Christian Porter is (wisely) pushing back on calls from within the Coalition to exempt religious beliefs from employment contracts, which could afford legal protection to views like those expressed by rugby player Israel Folau.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/religious-freedom-20190530-p51suq.html
    The Age reports that an elite police unit repeatedly accused of using excessive force is the subject of complaints from within its own ranks about alleged bullying and safety breaches during a training drill that left an officer with a serious eye injury.
    https://www.theage.com.au/national/victoria/elite-police-unit-under-investigation-over-bullying-training-injury-20190530-p51sxy.html
    Georgia’s long-standing and lucrative relationship with the Walt Disney Co could be headed for a break-up over the state’s new, restrictive abortion law.
    https://www.smh.com.au/entertainment/movies/disney-may-ditch-georgia-over-abortion-law-following-other-big-studios-20190531-p51t0u.html
    The SMH editorial praises yesterday’s minimum wage ruling.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace/minimum-wage-case-gets-the-balance-right-20190530-p51sqm.html
    “Will Australian companies take modern slavery seriously?”, asks industrial relations and business ethics lecturer Martijn Boersma.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/workplace/australian-companies-need-to-take-modern-slavery-seriously-20190524-p51qz8.html
    There are certain logical steps we could take to fix Australia’s flawed voting system, writes Adam Jacoby. If only!!!
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/ten-steps-to-save-the-democracy-,12758
    Tony Walker writes that politics and religion collide in the Knesset as Netanyahu faces the fight of his political life. The big issue is the exemption accorded ultra-Orthodox men from serving in the military. A new law had been proposed that would set modest quotas for the enlistment of ultra-Orthodox males.
    https://theconversation.com/politics-and-religion-collide-in-the-knesset-as-netanyahu-faces-the-fight-of-his-political-life-118041
    Woolworths now believes the path to customer loyalty lies with consistently lower prices, rather than weekly specials.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/woolworths-slashes-weekly-specials-in-push-to-gain-price-trust-20190530-p51swp.html
    Tony Featherstone has some sound advice to companies where circumstances force them into making good people redundant.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/small-business/why-empathy-in-redundancy-is-smart-business-20190530-p51sno.html
    In the wake of the Federal Election, not much seems to have changed with the Government’s stance on climate change, writes Sue Arnold.
    https://independentaustralia.net/environment/environment-display/the-environmental-aftermath-of-australias-federal-election,12756
    Centrelink has raised more than $500 million through so-called robodebt to the end of March this year, surpassing the previous year’s total by more than $150 million with three months still to go, reports Sally Whyte.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6191865/more-than-500m-raised-as-robodebt-ramped-up/?cs=14225
    The big fine landing on Jetstar reminds us of the subtle ways airlines try to gouge money from passengers.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/life/travel/2019/05/30/airlines-charges-passengers-jetstar/
    George Pell’s appeal against his convictions for child sex crimes will be broadcast live by the Supreme Court next week. The camera will be focused solely on the three Court of Appeal justices, even when the lawyers are talking. Pell will not be shown on camera.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/victoria/george-pell-s-appeal-to-be-broadcast-live-on-supreme-court-website-20190530-p51swo.html

    Cartoon Corner

    Cathy Wilcox with some perspective on the Falau issue.

    David Rowe in Washington.

    John Shakespeare reckons ASIC has its work cut out.

    From Matt Golding


    Andrew Dyson and what the battlers did.

    Some HR from Jim Pavlidis.

    Jon Kudelka at the Labor leadership handover.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/4a75a73a49e589a6fd77c97f892a9c26?width=1024

    From the US






  14. BK

    Thanks for the links this morning. Unsurprising that they are all bad storied for Labor going by the headlines. What a miraculous absolutely wonderfully perfect government we now have.

  15. OK – question.

    Why was it perfectly OK for Abbott to stay in parliament when he was no longer PM, (and to stay there actively plotting against Turnbull with his coterie of right-wing nutters) but not OK for Bill Shorten to stay?

    Did Michelle Grattan write opinion pieces back in 2015 saying Abbott should leave the parliament?

    I can’t say for sure she did not, but I haven’t been able to find anything.

    Albo has already said Shorten can have a ministry if he wants one. There has been a suggestion he might be given education. Unlike Abbott, Shorten is too good at policy to let go.

    Who cares if the government- worshippers in the MSM believe he should leave. That’s a matter for Shorten and his family to decide, not a pack of braying journalists who happily fed their readers the lies that resulted in the return of the most corrupt, incompetent government this country has seen.

    • I wish they would show more respect for Shorten. Discard him? How ridiculous. You hear all sorts of things now. Leadershit being one. Shorten v Albo. Anything to destroy Labor.

    • I have read very few articles since the election. msm are just making any rubbish up that they can about Labor and what supposedly is happening. I can’t believe so many on my twitter stream are retweeting the lying articles.

  16. 2gravell

    A comment on the Grauniad also notes that and the lack of looking at the ‘barbarians’.
    .
    ..
    The media still insist on micro analyzing every facet of what the opposition will or wont do regarding future policy and all the while refuse to insist on the more immediate plans of the government to which they seem to accept point blank refusal by Morrison to explain with any detail and swallow his motherhood statements without any further questioning .
    Did the LNP actually win the election?
    .
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/30/labor-vexed-over-coalition-tax-plan-that-benefits-the-wealthy

  17. 1 pm News headlines on Ten Qld.

    “Shorten already plotting his path back to leadership.”

    Who is their political reporter? None other than the fabulous PVO.

  18. TLBD

    The SMH Reporters’ Conga Line Club was in full swing earlier over at the SMH. 3 of the top 8 read articles were “Boo Labor”. Meanwhile in the ‘front page there were another 6 or so articles on Labor, none being nice and a whole 1 article involving the Happy Clapper led government. A ‘tough’ article about the government thinking about tightening up English requirements for foreign students.

  19. Right-leaning journalists are holding this country back. They foist their lies and their opinions on the unthinking masses who then accept this rubbish as genuine news and opinions.

    An illustration –

    A popular theme lately seems to have been about Labor losing votes in key seats because their abortion policy offended “religious communities”.

    That’s piffle.

    Anyone who is against abortion simply because their religion tells them to think that way is already a rusted-on conservative voter. It doesn’t matter if they vote for the Libs, the Nats, Hanson or any of the fringe religious parties like the Christian Democrats and Rise Up Australia, they always have and always will vote for the right.

    How do I know? Because for all my adult life (plus a few teenage years) I’ve been dealing with family members and acquaintances who think this way.

    Labor did not lose votes because of that abortion policy. The party probably won quite a few votes because of it.

    That’s not what the MSM tell us though. They have an agenda – they want Labor to ditch all the decent policies they took to the election and replace them with blind agreement with the government. That’s why we have so many articles about Labor and the government’s tax plans. They want to push Labor into supporting the whole lot, without amendment or objection.

  20. There is media bias against Labor. Fullstop. Fact.
    It won’t help in the larger scheme of things because the readership is fairly narrow but I 100% recommend The New daily and The Saturday Paper.
    I don’t like The Guardian.

  21. The media are choosing to ignore this –

    Instead they have spent the day making up Labor leadershit crap.

    They might like to take a look at Dutton’s ambitions.While FauxMo was posing for a photo with the women in his ministry someone in the background was having a very serious chat, and not a happy, smiley chat like the three blokes on the other side of the photo. We all know Dutton is not at all alert when it comes to microphones and cameras. Has he been caught plotting?

  22. If Labor politicians appear on these shows they are subjected to abuse and incredibly dumb questions. If they don’t appear they are accused of dodging scrutiny.

    Labor can never do the right thing, according to the MSM, yet FauxMo refused to appear on Q&A and Insiders, refused to give interviews to any press but the Murdoch papers and not one journalist ever accused him of avoiding scrutiny or being afraid of difficult questions.

    • AKA the MSM’s Quest for the Holy Gotcha.

      Yeah, nah… Wake me up in six months or so.

  23. Yesterday’s Matt Golding about how Monash is expanding along the Princes Highway had me laughing. No idea what article the cartoon was to

  24. L2

    Further down the page of that link. Oh so true. Especially for Coalition snakes.

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