Australia Votes 2019: Part 4 – South Australia and Western Australia

South Australia

https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/south-australia-1.pdf

Western Australia

https://pbxmastragics.files.wordpress.com/2019/04/western-australia-1.pdf

We are rapidly approaching the last of Gippsland Laborite’s incisive reviews of the nation’s HoR candidates. Thank you again and again!

One more analysis to go – then the final vote.

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284 thoughts on “Australia Votes 2019: Part 4 – South Australia and Western Australia

  1. I hope this news is spread far and wide. Will spike one of the legion of lies the Coalition are telling the electorate

    ——————————————————————————————————————————————————————
    Power prices will fall under both parties, predicts CBA

    Research from the Commonwealth Bank has found power prices are likely to fall no matter which party wins the May 18 election
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/power-prices-will-fall-under-both-parties-commonwealth-bank-20190508-p51l6t.html

  2. I was just having a look at the tweets on #billsmum and #mymum, lovely tweets from people celebrating their own mums stories, then I came across a Zannetti tweet that was not nice at all, I went down that particular worm hole.
    Zannetti is a RWNJ, he is not just toeing the Murdock line with his cartoons, he is genuinely a right wing troll.

  3. The Smelly’s nasty little piece on Shorten’s mum has backfired spectacularly.

    Bill handled it really well, I doubt anyone would not have been moved by his very honest and emotional comments today. Ben English, the editor of The Smelly has been left looking like a prize jerk.

    Some are even saying today was the day Shorten won the election. (I thought he already had it in the bag, but what would I know.)

    Here’s Paddy Manning’s take (plus praise for Bill’s “braver” decision not to bother meeting with Rupert Murdoch.) –

    Bill Shorten has been Opposition leader for 2034 days, but we’ve never seen him raw like this: at a press conference in Nowra the Labor leader fought back tears, before letting rip at The Daily Telegraph for “playing gotcha shit” about his mother’s life story. “Look it up,” he said, schooling the Telegraph’s editor, Ben English, without bothering to name him. As has been observed many times, Shorten has had everything thrown at him in his long, six-year stint in the toughest job in politics. Investigations, royal commissions, biographers, comedians, town hall meetings, unfavourable opinion polls, three prime ministers: he has weathered them all. Not once has there been a glint of a tear in his eye. But a tabloid hit on his late mother, Ann, was too much, and as he choked up at the memory of her belated attempt to break into the law as a fifty-something woman, he showed some vulnerability for what felt like the first time. Who wouldn’t stick up for their mum? It may prove to be the moment that Shorten won the election

    https://www.themonthly.com.au/today/paddy-manning/2019/08/2019/1557294556/bill-shorten-

    Wouldn’t it be wonderful if Rupert’s editor was responsible for Labor winning the election, and winning with a bigger than expected number of seats!

    FauxMo must be spitting chips. He managed to splutter some “kind” words today, but no-one paid much attention. The spotlight was firmly on Bill.

    • If it is then Murdoch is paying that cost.

      So is FauxMo, for making his remarks today all about him, as usual, and for not condemning NewsCorpse.

  4. FauxMo really, really doesn’t want to be doing this debate. He’s coming across as grumpy and the smirk has been wiped from his face.

    He’s angry.

  5. Sky orcs on the ‘debate” ……

    Laura Jayes-Both went well. Shorten narrow win.

    Speers -Scrott did not do enough to make much difference.Shorten will be pleased.

    Chris Kenny – Noted it “was all about Labor policy”. Scrott had “substance” unlike Bill of course.
    Conroy- Shock horror he liked Shorten . So much so “Bill has his mojo back” 🙂

    Kieran Gilbert reckons the Daily Toilet story “This was the key moment of the campaign in my view”. “This will be a turning point in the campaign and his response to it”.

    • It was awful alright.No great gaffe’s that the media lizards can go berserk over so all good.

    • The story of Bill’s Mum probably is the highlight of a lacklustre campaign.

      I wish we could have heard something about the NBN from Labor but “We will spend another $30Bn to fix the NBN” may not have sounded all that great.

      Enabling people to have FTTH rolled out to them for actual cost that is shared by anyone on the route of the fibre will see fibre rolled out. As more people have FTTH more and more other people will want it too. The Libs and their lackeys and cronies in NBN Co certainly went to endless pains to NOT roll out an inch of fibre, rolling out new copper where the Telstra copper really was stuffed etc etc.

    • Oops, should be:
      cost that is shared by anyone on the route of the fibre that would like FTTH.

    • No he didn’t. He seemed in a bad mood – I think “testy” is the word I want..

      He lied and lied and lied.

      He said there were no children in detention – yes there are, in onshore detention. The two little girls from Biloela have been in detention for a year now and are not doing well. Children lucky enough to be brought to Australia for medical treatment are still in detention.

      He lied about defence purchases and defence ship building.

      He lied about Labor’s cancer plans and seemed absolutely out of touch when he said private insurance was very important if you had cancer. Sabra said not everyone could afford private cover and he brushed that aside.

      FauxMo made everything about him, again.

      I got so sick of the lies I muted him for some of his answers because he was making me very, very angry.

      The result was supposed to be a draw. I think Shorten creamed FauxMo.

  6. Good comment.

    My NBN connection, newly repaired this morning and going well until I tired to watch the debate on iview, just can’t handle live video streaming. It only crashed once tonight, fortunately during one of FauxMo’s answers, so I didn’t miss anything. On Monday, for Q&A, when the connection was really struggling (loose wires in the street pillar was the problem) it dropped out every few minutes. That never happened with ADSL2.

  7. Good Lord!

    FauxMo will be in my electorate sometime in the next 24 hours. I hope he stays up the north end, well away from me.

    I was robo polled tonight. Must have been for the Nats. The female voice referred to “Cooper”, not “Cowper” and for a moment I thought I’d been called by mistake. But no, it was about Cowper. What party will I vote for? Will I change my mind? Have I already voted? What do I think of the Nats candidate and Rob Oakeshott?

    The Nats must be worried.

    i don’t think a flying visit and a few stunts from FauxMo will swing any wavering voters to the Nats. Might push a few away though.

  8. I think we wore out the mute button last night when the debate was on. Only listened to scummo when he was asking his questions. They weren’t very good questions. I noted sabra lane interrupted Bill when he was asking one of his questions, otherwise she did a reasonable job.

    Son rang up after the debate, he couldn’t believe what a duck wit scummo was, he was a bit excited about how Bill handled himself. He hadn’t watched any of the other debates.

    Read yesterday mr eleventy was not going to ask for his usa post to continue and would leave in January. On abc this morning, they have him quitting before this election cos he can see the writing on the wall and doesn’t want to be sacked!!!!!!!

  9. Just watching ABC Morning breakfast analysis of the Leaders Debate

    The journalists managed to make the fact that only Labor policy was discussed sound like Labor’s policies are dodgy rather than Liberals haven’t announced any policies because they know the IPA list of demands is utterly unpalatable to the electorate

  10. Good morning Dawn Patrollers. Sorry for today’s tardiness – I slept in until just after six.

    David Crowe reports that Labor is expecting an escalating assault from Rupert Murdoch’s News Corp and fears further attacks in the final days of the campaign.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/a-political-hit-job-labor-braces-for-war-with-murdoch-media-20190508-p51lf6.html
    You can just about see the tears all over the home page of The Australian!
    https://www.theaustralian.com.au/
    More from Crowe as he says Bill Shorten may have won the third debate, but Scott Morrison gave one of his best performances of the election campaign.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/so-that-s-a-no-a-key-moment-of-friction-in-the-final-face-off-between-morrison-and-shorten-20190508-p51lgi.html
    What the betting markets tell us about the seats set to fall on election night.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/what-the-betting-markets-tell-us-about-the-seats-set-to-fall-on-election-night-20190508-p51l6h.html
    Jess Irvine writes that around the world, advanced economies have stagnated, unable to generate the sort of rapid growth of earlier eras. In a way, slower growth is a badge of success, a sign of having moved up the economic ladder.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/the-economy/australia-has-joined-the-go-slow-club-and-that-s-ok-20190508-p51lbu.html
    Stephen Bartholomeusz says that the ACCC appears fixated on a potential telecommunications industry landscape that doesn’t and probably won’t exist; a fantasy of its imagined perfect industry structure.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/absurd-accc-s-destructive-telco-fantasy-will-only-make-things-worse-20190508-p51leo.html
    Katharine Murphy writes that Morrison pledged loyalty to his MIA environment minister amid a listless debate.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/08/price-is-right-morrison-pledges-loyalty-to-mia-environment-minister-amid-listless-debate
    The Conversation’s experts look at the debate.
    https://theconversation.com/shorten-and-morrison-make-their-final-cases-in-third-leaders-debate-our-experts-respond-116668
    Michelle Grattan says the third debate contained some messages about and from the leaders.
    https://theconversation.com/view-from-the-hill-third-debate-contained-some-messages-about-and-from-the-leaders-116769
    David Crowe tells us why Shorten’s response to the DT hatchet job on his mother was the most compelling moment of this election campaign.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/why-this-was-the-most-compelling-moment-of-this-election-campaign-20190508-p51l9i.html
    Bill Shorten’s teary press conference hitting back at a critical story in the Daily Telegraph about his account of his late-mother’s career has won praise from supporters, but has also been described by former News Corp executives and critics of the media giant as smart politics.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/former-murdoch-execs-say-bill-shorten-s-attack-on-new-corp-was-smart-politics-20190508-p51l6c.html
    And the SMH editorial congratulates the Daily Telegraph on a great own goal.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/congratulations-to-the-daily-telegraph-on-a-great-own-goal-20190508-p51l9q.html
    Sam Maiden explains how ‘a new low’ has strengthened Bill Shorten’s resolve.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/election-2019/2019/05/09/bill-shorten-profile/
    Ann Davies asks if News Corp’s attack on Shorten’s memory of his dead mother the cost of shunning Murdoch.
    https://www.theguardian.com/media/2019/may/08/is-news-corps-attack-on-shortens-memory-of-his-dead-mother-the-cost-of-shunning-murdoch
    Professor Elizabeth Savage writes that Labor’s proposal to end cash refunds of unused dividend imputation credits is highly targeted. It certainly doesn’t apply to age pensioners, even part pensioners, courtesy of Labor’s Pensioner Guarantee. Self managed super funds set up by pensioners before the announcement are also exempt
    https://theconversation.com/its-hard-to-find-out-who-labors-dividend-imputation-policy-will-hit-but-it-is-possible-and-it-isnt-the-poor-116370
    The cost to the budget of income splitting through discretionary trusts has blown out, Chris Bowen says. He has plethora of exhibits to prove his point.
    https://www.outline.com/q8kKms
    Greg Jericho writes that the bar must be low if the economy’s fundamentals are as ‘sound’ as Josh Frydenberg claims.
    https://www.theguardian.com/business/grogonomics/2019/may/09/the-bar-must-be-low-if-the-economys-fundamentals-are-as-sound-as-josh-frydenberg-claims
    The Wilderness Society says that this has to be the last election where the environment is used as a political football. It’s been building for a long time but the release of the United Nation’s extinction report must now be the line in the sand.
    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/conservation/a-million-species-on-the-brink-yes-voters-care-20190508-p51ldv.html
    Nick Miller writes that Britain’s electricity grid has gone an entire week without burning coal for the first time since the Industrial Revolution. And the country’s grid operator says this will be “the new normal” – and mean lower power prices for consumers.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/britain-goes-a-week-without-coal-power-saying-this-is-the-new-normal-20190509-p51lgy.html
    John Hewson says that when it comes to climate change our leaders have three tiers of responsibility, national, international and intergenerational. Leadership needs to be dignified and respectful to build national solidarity to respond to the urgency of the challenge.
    https://www.smh.com.au/environment/climate-change/come-senators-mps-there-s-a-climate-emergency-raging-20190508-p51l3m.html
    The two peak financial regulators have sent a clear message to boards that they are taking climate change risk seriously, calling the issue “all pervading”, “legally foreseeable”.
    https://www.outline.com/Z6LgER
    Labor’s climate target will definitely cost more than the Coalition’s, but we don’t know enough about either policy to accurately assess it, writes Tony Wood.
    https://www.outline.com/cNBtS4
    Scott Morrison’s office has declined to say what legislation he was referring to when he said he had “been taking action” on a landmark UN report about the extinction of a million different species.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/09/pms-office-silent-after-apparent-reference-to-environment-bill-that-doesnt-exist
    The water minister, David Littleproud, says he would be open to working with the basin states to discuss breaking up the Murray-Darling Basin Authority (MDBA) between an agency and a regulator, as recommended by the Productivity Commission.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/08/coalition-says-it-will-consider-breaking-up-murray-darling-basin-authority
    Emma Koehn reports that Australian small businesses say the cashflow crunch is now encroaching on their ability to pay staff, with one third of companies struggling to make ends meet as they wait on at least $20,000 in outstanding invoices to be paid to them. Late payment has been a shocking development over recent years.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/small-business/the-final-straw-cash-crunch-leads-small-businesses-to-pay-staff-late-20190508-p51l3p.html
    Malcolm Turnbull has suggested Western nations should develop independent 5G networks, forgetting the failure of our NBN as an example of Government intervention, writes Paul Budde.
    https://independentaustralia.net/business/business-display/nbn-a-reminder-of-why-turnbulls-5g-plan-is-flawed,12650
    Michael Koziol writes that potential election kingmaker Clive Palmer is undecided on the merits of immunisation after one of his candidates said parents should question vaccine advice given by doctors.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6114185/uap-undecided-on-vaccine-merits/?cs=14350
    The US House Judiciary committee voted 24-16 to hold Barr in contempt after the Justice Department rejected House Democrats’ demands for the full Mueller report and the underlying evidence. Ahead of the vote, US President Donald Trump asserted executive privilege over those materials and reserved the right to block them. Where is all this going to end?
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/attorney-general-william-barr-held-in-contempt-of-congress-20190509-p51lhl.html
    Impeachment isn’t just a tool to remove a president – it’s also a way to mark a presidency with historic disapproval, thereby deterring similar conduct, writes Brian Klaas.
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/its-time-to-start-impeachment-hearings-20190508-p51l6y.html
    In a cracker of a contribution Peter FitzSimons dissects the whole Israel Falau issue.
    https://www.smh.com.au/sport/six-of-the-worst-fallacies-surrounding-the-israel-folau-case-20190508-p51let.html
    And for “Arseholes of the Week” nomination we have . . .
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/18-arrested-as-alleged-family-day-care-fraud-syndicated-dismantled-20190508-p51ldp.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe ventures into the DT editorial office.

    David Pope serves it up to Murdoch.

    Cathy Wilcox and a rampaging PM.

    From Matt Golding.





    Two more beauties from Mark David.


    John Shakespeare and Morrison’s unravelling.

    Matt Davidson passes the economic baton.

    Cope this one from Glen Le Lievre!

    Peter Broelman gives us a royal egging.

    Zanetti’s getting desperate.

    Jon Kudelka and the rise of the independents.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/f441e3f57fde9195e32da4fdfe1e6bd5?width=1024

    From the US






  11. Re Tony Wood arguing that ALP’s climate policy will cost, not sure if Outline is giving me the whole article because what I read was complicated and detailed.

    Most environmental commentators expect that the cost of doing nothing will outweigh the costs of tackling climate change, as witnessed by insurance companies paying more money more frequently for once in a hundred year floods & storms & bushfires

    Australia is very vulnerable to increased heat and decreased water so any actions we can take to decrease global warming or adapting to a warmer planet will improve our survival.

    The planet will go on, it might be like Venus with average temperatures of 450 degrees, the average temperature on Earth was 13 degrees, it’s now 14 degrees

    • Outline always leaves out either the beginning or the end of AFR stories.
      I just use BK’s link to get the title and then do a search for the article in an incognito window.

      To save you that rigmarole here’s the missing beginning –

      Credible climate policy hijacked by costings fight
      Labor’s climate target will definitely cost more than the Coalition’s, but we don’t know enough about either policy to accurately assess it.

      Labor seems to have decided that attaching specific costs to its climate change policy objective – to reduce greenhouse gas emissions across the economy by 45 per cent below 2005 levels by 2030 – was difficult to do and unnecessary in the overall election campaign. Securing the moral high ground on climate change would be enough.

      Not surprisingly, the Coalition parties decided to focus all their attention on proving Labor’s target was economically irresponsible – and they needed some modelling to do that.

      Despite Labor’s claims, of course a 45 per cent target can be modelled using the sort of tools that Brian Fisher of BAEconomics uses.

      Labor would be well-served by being clear on two things. First, a 45 per cent target will cost more than the Coalition’s 26 per cent target – cleaner costs more than dirtier. So, Labor must prosecute the case that justifies the higher target. Second, despite Labor’s claims, of course a 45 per cent target can be modelled using the sort of tools that Brian Fisher of BAEconomics uses. But the results should not be taken as a forecast of the future costs that would arise from meeting that target.

      The Coalition has its Emissions Reduction Fund that may very well deliver more, reasonably cheap reductions, but it’s paid through the Commonwealth budget. Further, the Coalition has yet to table a set of policies that credibly meet its 26 per cent emissions reduction target. The Liberals’ rejection of the use of international credits seems extraordinary for a party usually in favour of free trade. And finally, there’s the reported and surprising claim by Prime Minister Scott Morrison that the Coalition’s plan has no impact on the economy because taxpayers will foot the entire bill.

      There is another complication. In 2019, neither of the major parties is proposing a single, economy-wide policy

      .

  12. A new problem with the new F-35A Joint Strike Fighter jets – they will rust if they are not stored in special hangars with constant dehumidification. .

    F-35 Joint Strike Fighters at Williamtown RAAF base susceptible to ‘intergranular corrosion’, KPMG report finds

    Australian defence officials have been urged to consider round-the-clock dehumidification systems at an Air Force base near Newcastle to curb the corrosion risk for its fleet of Joint Strike Fighter jets.

    Concerns over the risk of metal stress and cracking were raised in 2017, the year before the next-generation fighters were due to come to Australia.

    The FOI report obtained by the ABC said of the three bases where the jets would be based, only Williamtown, near Newcastle, had been identified as having potential problems.

    The risk is posed by salt and other climatic conditions

    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-05-07/williamtown-joint-strike-fighters-susceptible-to-corrosion/11085220

    Just wonderful! The two Australian bases for these flying lemons are Williamtown and RAAF Base Tindal in the NT. Tindal is out in the boondocks near Katherine, where the RAAF seems to have forgotten there is a wet season and, when there is no drought, floods. What happens to these aircraft then? Williamtown is by the sea. (Some will be based in the US, in Arizona. Why?)

    That brings up another question. What happens if it rains during an operation? Will these useless hunks of rusting alloy have to immediately return to the safety of their dehumidified hangars and be dried off with towels and hairdryers to stop that rust?

    And – will they even be flying if it looks like bad weather? Two years ago we found out the F35s could not fly in thunderstorms.

    Due to weather in Amberley the F-35A will now depart the Avalon Airshow on Monday, 6 March rather than Sunday, 5 March as previously scheduled,” a statement by the RAAF issued on Sunday afternoon reads.”It is well documented that the F-35A aircraft requires modifications for lightning protection and these modifications have not yet been completed on the two visiting Australian aircraft. As safety is Air Force’s priority, the aircraft will not fly in conditions where lightning is present. Prior to return to Australia, the Australian F-35A will be modified with lightning protection

    https://www.esquire.com/news-politics/politics/news/a53734/f-35-thunderstorm/

    The problems with these useless hulks just keep coming. So far some (just some) include inaccuracy when firing missiles at ground targets, cyber security vulnerabilities in the aircraft’s software, and reports of pilots blacking out and the thunderstorm problem. Last month a Japanese F-35A crashed after 28 minutes of flight time. As a result Japan grounded all its fleet. At least Japan has a fleet to ground, we just have a promise of delivery when all the problems have been sorted and a bill for something like $17 billion.

    Labor should cancel the whole order and invest in drones.

    • So no flying for 6 months in the northern half of Australia during the Build Up and Wet Seasons ? Thank you John Howard for your service to arse kissing America.

    • Thanks – Tony Wood is notoriously generous towards Liberal policies including costs of NBN

    • Not sure what happened there

      About F35 JSF – have they solved the problems of air bubbles in the jet fuel if refueling in ambient temperature greater than 14 degrees

    • Howard’s fecking patrol boats were as bad………………..but cheaper. When they were in the steamy tropics water getting in fuel would stuff the motors on a regular basis. I believe it was a lazy $500,000 a pop just to fly out teh parts from ‘Chermany’.

    • Highly unlikely, but do you think there is any chance that all the countries who were induced to purchase this ‘vehicle’ would be able to claim that it is “unfit for purpose” and claim some sort of recompense?

    • Thank you, Jaeger. The sound and vision brought back a poignant early childhood memory of Farnborough Air Shows some “centuries” ago. We lived in a nearby village, and would watch the commentary on the TV, then rush to the window to watch the planes fly over our house. Very exciting for a little person.

    • Very jealous, Curioz. 🙂

      I haven’t been to an airshow as such, but the 2005 VP Day celebration over Lake Burley Griffin was fun.
      In particular, the F-111 high speed runs at very low altitude over the lake were amazing. I failed to get a photo both times – too quick, even though I was ready for it the second time.

      The F-111 had the same negative press as the F-35A is getting now. It was a world beater.
      It was never used in anger by the RAAF – mission accomplished.

      If you want cutting edge technology – and we do, expect a few nicks and cuts along the way.

    • I hadn’t noticed the NSW Parks & Wildlife “Australian Parrots, Lorikeets and Cockatoos” poster on the wall in that video before. 🙂 There’s a lot of commonality between birdwatching and “bird” watching.

    • Seeing that vid of the F111 reminded me of something similar that happened to me. My parents had a shack in the highlands where the RAAF practice a lot of low level flying. I was just toddling along without a care in the world when a shadow went over me then this almighty roar as this thing went over me at a height of no more than 100 feet I reckon and then it was gone. Scared the bejeezus out of me.

  13. I liked this from Shorten . Bonus, it is bloody true.
    .
    “We will have a very good foreign policy, because I’ve got Penny Wong, and they don’t.”

  14. One hell of a serve to the Rupertarium and its denizens from a journo and not just any old journo.
    —————————————————————————————————————————————————————–
    For 30 years I worked for News Corp papers. Now all I see is shameful bias
    Tony Koch

    No editor I worked for would publish the rubbish they now produce

    Thu 9 May 2019 14.05 AEST Last modified on Thu 9 May 2019 14.11 AEST

    About six weeks ago I cancelled my subscription for The Australian newspaper after ……………………..

    ……………………………….Tony Koch is an Australian journalist who has won five Walkley awards and an honorary doctorate from the Australian School of Journalism. He has also won 48 state journalism awards, the Sir Keith Murdoch News Limited Award and the Graham Perkin Award. He has been inducted into the Australian media hall of fame.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/09/for-30-years-i-worked-for-news-corp-papers-now-all-i-see-is-shameful-bias?CMP=share_btn_tw

  15. From Redcliffe Hospital, earlier today – “Labor’s plan for better health and hospitals not tax handouts for the top end of town.”

    Sound is dodgy in places.

  16. And The Australia Institute, which was dismissed by the government as being “Labor-aligned” have responded to the Fact Check analysis:

    The Australia Institute have always said the assumptions in our model were on the conservative side and that our research showing $77 billion dollars of the Coalition’s income tax cut goes to those earning over $180,000 was a low-ball figure.

    ABC Factcheck now confirms that:

    the Coalition’s tax measures would reduce the progressivity of Australia’s income tax system; and
    the Australia Institute’s $77 billion figure goes to those earning over $180,000 is, in fact, an underestimate and likely to be much higher – between $88 billion and $89 billion.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/live/2019/may/09/federal-election-2019-shorten-morrison-labor-coalition-politics-live#comments

  17. Another dodgy Liberal candidate – this one will not be disendorsed.

    Federal election: Liberals not disendorsing Gurpal Singh, who linked same-sex marriage to paedophilia
    https://www.abc.net.au/news/2019-05-08/federal-election-liberals-keeping-candidate-gurpal-singh/11092816

    This creature has no hope of taking Scullin away from Labor.

    It seems to me there is a reason why the Libs have put so many dodgy candidates in seats they have no chance of winning. They have been unable to attract enough decent candidates, so the worst of them have been allocated to electorates where they will certainly lose. Same for Palmer’s shoddy little party and for ON – no sane person would want to represent either, so in attempts to field as many candidates as possible they are using what can only be described as scum and nutters.

  18. On Saturday, there’s a protest taking place down at Cleveland [QLD], on the shore of Redland Bay. It’s a Ramsar-listed site, recognised as a wetland of global significance under a treaty that we signed up to. Tens of thousands (once millions) of migratory waders using the East Asian-Australasian flyway use it as a rest and replenishment stop during the non-breeding season to escape the freezing Siberian winter, from which they fly forth and back every year.

    Pity, then, that the state and federal governments want to build 3600 apartments, a marina and a hotel on it. In which case, you’d be forgiven for asking what the point was in signing up to the Ramsar Convention in the first place (as indeed you may already have asked yourself why we are still signed up to the UNHCR Refugee Convention of 1951, given our multiple contraventions of everything it was designed for).

    At the protest, a human chain will be formed. But it won’t be around a bulldozer or a building. Instead people will just walk out onto the mudflats and link arms. It’ll be a line in the mud. I’d like to think it’s not just for the birds, and that it’s a symbol of something bigger. That a government can’t sign an international treaty and then just walk away when a developer, via some greasy lobbyist, knocks on a minister’s door.

    https://www.patreon.com/posts/line-in-mud-26702676

  19. Needless to say I wasn’t at the so-called “senior’s forum” FauxMo held in Port Macquarie this morning. I had better things to do.

    It would have been one of the usual Lib/Nat invitation only, bss in a crowd from retirement villages type of thing. I think I spotted someone I recognised in a tweet of the event – a woman who is married to a higher-up in the local branch of the Liberal Party.

    FauxMo promised to get a tidal pool built on a local beach. This, for some reason, is a hot issue among the most braindead locals.

    It’s the last thing we need here. Our council is working on anew aquatic centre to replace the leaking and ageing town poll.Council is not going to support a tidal pool and neither is the NSW government. It won’t get past the environmental impact process. The location chosen for the pool by those wanting it (south end of Flynns Beach, for those familiar with Port Macquarie) is highly inappropriate, with no parking and difficult access for the able-bodied. One of the seling points has been use of this pool by people with disabilities. There is no way anyone with any sort of mobility problem could access the chosen site, not without a fortune being spent on a complex system of ramps and pathway, and not without bulldozing away a cliff to install a disabled parking area.

    It’s never going to happen, but FauxMo, eager to suck up to voters, is promising something he has no influence on or control of. It’s a state issue, not a federal one.

    • “FauxMo promised to get a tidal pool built on a local beach. This, for some reason, is a hot issue among the most braindead locals.”

      The ones who don’t believe in climate change?
      If they wait a while, the Port Macquarie Olympic Pool will be tidal.

    • Yes, the very same people. They don’t realise their pool, should it ever happen, will be permanently underwater if we don’t do something to deal with climate change.

  20. Evening all.

    I took a week off from the election – stayed away from any and all coverage from last Tuesday until last night. I’d just had enough of it. Coming back, I note that the political media are still covering an election campaign entirely different from the one that’s actually happening. So I don’t feel as if I’ve missed much.

    The real story is that the public’s mind is made up, probably was all along, and there’s been a rush on early voting this time around. Figures from the AEC seem to suggest twice as many people have pre-polled this year as compared to 2016 – the figure I saw was 1.4 million votes lodged already. Nothing that’s happened in the campaign has been to Morrison’s benefit (despite the way it’s being covered, though it does look as if the tone has changed in the past 24 hours from what I can tell). It’s no landslide, but it’s comfortably in Shorten territory, and the longer the campaign goes on, the more pre-polling there’ll be, and thus the chances get smaller and smaller for an ‘election-changing event’ to actually have an impact.

    Shorten looks unflappable on policy or personality. He rightly took those comments on his mother personally, which has worked to humanise him in the eyes of the electorate. The one area he’s had trouble so far is in ‘perception’ – in that the commentary on him has been relentlessly negative, and many people have made assumptions about Shorten sight unseen. Those who have actually watched him already know what a great performer he is. Yesterday’s happenings opened that perception up to a whole lot more people. It also shows the Murdoch press up as – well, we know they’re venal, but this shows they lack agility or perspective when they launch attacks like that. Obviously nobody gave a thought to what the consequences might be. It’s a common error when you’re attempting to dictate rather than read the mood of the electorate.

    Nevertheless, it’s still amazing just how much terrible behaviour from the Lib/Nats just goes straight through to the keeper. Menindee, or the Angus Taylor situation, alone should have been enough to sink a government. Ditto the NBN, or Robodebt. Any of those are unacceptable. But what it all comes down to in the end is the inability of Morrison to construct, much less sell, a vision. I get the feeling that if he could do that he’d probably win the election. Luckily for the country the Liberals have no foresight and have been bereft of policy initiative for years. Now they need to switch to a positive message, they have nothing to call on.

    • Aguirre, good to see you back. We have tried to not pay too much attention as well. Not long to go now to see how it all pans out. I hope for Australia’s sake that Labor do well, and we can restore some decency and caring for everyone.

  21. Another robo-poll.

    The Nats must be seriously worried about losing Cowper.

    Second poll in two nights. Easy to tell it was the Nats, the answer options were always Nats 1, Labor 2, Oakeshott 3.

    If they are planning a last-minute assault on voters they are leaving it a bit late,

  22. Lies, lies and more lies

    Scott Morrison has identified a bill that restricts testing make-up on animals as an example of his government “taking action” on the extinction of a million plant and animal species raised by a landmark UN report.

    On Tuesday, the prime minister told reporters he had “been taking action” on matters raised by the report, saying: “We already introduced and passed legislation through the Senate actually dealing with that very issue in the last week of the parliament.”

    However, no environmental or animal conservation legislation was passed in the last week of parliament. Asked on Wednesday, Morrison’s staff were unable to say what legislation he was talking about.

    On Thursday, at a press conference in Port Macquarie, Morrison said he was referring to “the animal protection legislation”.

    Morrison also said his budget measures, which passed in the second-last week of parliament, contained a “$100m environment restoration fund” which “actually deals with that issue [of extinction]”.

    “I was referring [on Tuesday] to a different piece of legislation,” he said. “But in that same week there was the budget measure.”

    When pressed, he did not provide the name of the legislation, and his staff did not respond to further questions.

    The only legislation related to animals passed recently was the industrial chemicals bill 2017 – which contains a small section about testing cosmetics on animals.

    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/09/scott-morrison-claims-animal-testing-bill-is-action-on-extinction-crisis

    • A brilliant idea, TLBD; I haven’t tried the light rail yet.
      Free bus and light rail travel is a bonus! 👍

      (The weather was looking iffy for walking.)

    • “Where’s your bike?”

      “It’s a fair cop, guv; you’ve got me bang to rights.”

  23. The gist of the story is Ms Ashmore’s father was born in Israel, and if he had not renounced his Israeli citizenship by the time his daughter was born then she automatically became an Israeli citizen too. There is argument about when she might have renounced her Israeli citizenship or if she ever had it in the first place.

    You might remember this woman, she’s one of the many far from charming people the Libs have chosen as candidates.

    Liberal candidate claims private schools ‘far superior’ and childless leaders ‘lack empathy’
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/private-schools-are-far-superior-liberal-candidate-claims-20190423-p51gbm.html

    • Yep.

      There’s also the other unspoken number:
      “How much have have Dutton’s failed court challenges cost Australian taxpayers?”

  24. jaeger,

    Free travel for a month.

    I live in West Belconnen and will never use the tram.

    It’s just a nuisance if I want to go to the EPIC markets, to the Federal Highway or (not very often) to Civic. Northbourne Avenue has been wrecked and is a no-go zone.

    • I’m not a fan of the new bus routes – but I haven’t tried them yet.

      A free light rail trip to/from nowhere is better than aimlessly wandering the malls to kill time.

  25. Interesting that we’re now 9 days from the election, Labor are still leading all the polls and are rated almost certainties to win with the betting agencies… and yet we still haven’t once in this entire term had a news outlet or journalist of any description anticipate what a Shorten government might be like. The closest we’ve had is stenography of Morrison’s dire warnings. In other words, the view of a Labor government filtered through the prism of Liberal Party snark.

    In 2012-13 we were inundated with articles telling us what an upcoming Abbott government would be like, what it would do, and what sort of a PM Abbott was going to be. Almost all of it was fantasy, a rose-tinted depiction of a ‘moderate’ government led by a ‘statesman’ with a ‘vision’. The bulk of it quoted unnamed Liberal sources about how great Abbott was going to be, which gave the media outlets an out when it came to ‘balance’ – after all, they were just quoting others. Abbott restricted himself to rehearsed slogans and vague assurances, which everyone seemed to think was wonderful. Most of the news outlets indulged in this smoothing-over process, with the ABC one of the leading culprits.

    Has anybody read or heard anything predicting the form or achievements of an upcoming Labor government? It’s as if nobody wants to admit that it’s going to happen. They’re confining themselves to an eternal present, where the result is in doubt and everything beyond it is not worth thinking about. So the work of adjusting to a Labor government is going to be a lengthy one, whereas everyone was prepped for accepting Abbott.

    • Which says a whole lot (and none of it pleasant) about the state of political commentary today in Oz.

  26. TLBD, I have to differ in the Light Rail. Love it! I’m sure it will take a while but it will be a success and long may it extend down to Woden and far beyond. I was not happy when the trees down the middle of Northbourne were axed but I’m now a fan of the way the whole project has evolved.

  27. Good morning Dawn Patrollers.

    According to David Crowe the Labor leader has promised to fix the inequities that punish the young if he takes power at the election, as he accused the Morrison government of presiding over a policy “wasteland” for the next generation.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/younger-generations-cop-a-dud-deal-from-a-system-stacked-against-them-shorten-20190509-p51lrk.html
    And Peter Hartcher chimes in by saying why next week’s election is partly a contest between the generations.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/why-next-week-s-election-is-also-partly-a-contest-between-the-generations-20190509-p51lrx.html
    Adam Carey reports that Labor has promised to spend $1 billion buying land between Melbourne, Canberra, Sydney and Brisbane to build a future high-speed rail link.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/labor-to-spend-1b-on-bullet-train-route-from-melbourne-to-brisbane-via-sydney-20190509-p51lqw.html
    David Crowe writes that one of Morrison’s biggest problems in this campaign: he is the man who has to defend the status quo. On every issue, not only wages and working conditions, he must tell Australians everything is going swimmingly, at the same time he tells them he can make it even better.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/morrison-s-big-problem-he-has-to-claim-everything-s-going-swimmingly-20190509-p51lqq.html
    Phil Coorey says that Liberal MPs are angry at The Daily Telegraph, believing its story may be the turning point in the campaign. Certainly, the campaign body language indicates a shift in momentum towards Labor.
    https://www.outline.com/Wg53pD
    And Jennifer Hewett opines that Scott Morrison needed to clearly be a much, much better campaigner than Bill Shorten. He’s not. And being good is just not good enough given the Coalition’s starting point
    https://www.outline.com/D6Zdyf
    The SMH editorial explains how economic uncertainty is making the election choice harder.
    https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/economic-uncertainty-makes-election-choice-harder-20190509-p51lql.html
    The AFR says that Labor will promise a $23 billion surplus, more than twice the Coalition’s $9 billion, and its costings imply $200 billion in tax cuts, as a result of its plans to close loopholes for the so-called top end of town.
    https://www.outline.com/wTeSNh
    Here’s Sarah Martin’s take on the costings Labor will announce today.
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/10/labor-costings-project-a-surplus-double-the-size-of-coalitions-by-2022
    Scott Morrison has “100 per cent” ruled out tax cuts for larger businesses in the next term of Parliament in the face of a new scare campaign from the Labor Party to be run through the final days of the election.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/pm-100-per-cent-rules-out-business-tax-cuts-amid-alp-ad-blitz-20190509-p51lny.html
    After a long phoney war in which both major parties struggled to gain momentum, we saw a decisive break in the campaign this week. Labor’s campaign has gathered strength. In contrast, the wheels are falling off for the Coalition, writes Ben Eltham.
    https://newmatilda.com/2019/05/09/labor-rising-morrisons-scott-no-plan-beyond-a-scare-campaign-on-shortens-bill/
    According to the AFR business is anxious about a likely Labor government due to uncertainty over its union-friendly industrial relations agenda and a high emissions reduction goal.
    https://www.outline.com/wLbhYb
    Jennifer Duke reports that there are claims that the government influenced the ACCC’ decision on TPG-Vodafone in order to shield the NBN.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/claims-government-influenced-accc-decision-on-tpg-vodafone-to-shield-nbn-20190509-p51lkd.html
    Nicole Hasham tells us that the Morrison government plans to slash $150 million from the Home Affairs staff budget, prompting fears the national security agency intends to axe thousands of workers. The department confirmed the spending cut was due to “ceasing measures” but would not say what parts of its operations would be discontinued.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/fears-of-home-affairs-job-losses-as-government-cuts-staff-budget-by-150-million-20190509-p51lok.html
    Waleed Aly has some thoughts on why Bill Shorten’s mum might swing this election.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/why-bill-shorten-s-mum-might-swing-this-election-20190509-p51liu.html
    Michelle Grattan says Bill Shorten’s moment of “connection” brings back memories of Beaconsfield.
    https://theconversation.com/grattan-on-friday-bill-shortens-moment-of-connection-brings-back-memories-of-beaconsfield-116854
    Tony Koch says he worked for News Corp papers for years and how all he sees is shameful bias.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/09/for-30-years-i-worked-for-news-corp-papers-now-all-i-see-is-shameful-bias
    The Liberal Party and radical Right-wing nexus charged up a cog this week promoting a yarn about the “crossbench” in the Senate killing off any Labor Government reform program. Lee Duffield says the scheme being splashed in Right-wing news services draws a longbow — it supposes voters are as worked up about the intricacies of politics as certain media are and it predicts that the “crossbench” they want is the one that gets elected on 18 May.
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/media-beat-up-about-the-senate-beating-up-labor,12656
    The RBA will cut interest rates as soon as the election is out of the way, according to fund managers at Ellerston Global Macro who say markets have “totally misinterpreted” Tuesday’s decision.
    https://www.outline.com/XPxBCA
    Eryk Bagshaw writes that the Coalition has solicited foreign donations after introducing new laws banning them.
    https://www.canberratimes.com.au/story/6116477/coalition-solicited-foreign-donations-after-introducing-new-laws-banning-them/?cs=14350
    Pfftt! And there goes another candidate.
    https://www.smh.com.au/federal-election-2019/liberal-candidate-forced-to-resign-over-criticism-of-alleged-rape-victim-20190509-p51lty.html
    And Clive Palmer is proving to be just as astute as Pauline Hanson when it comes to picking candidates!
    https://www.theguardian.com/australia-news/2019/may/10/clive-palmer-candidate-posts-anti-abortion-picture-of-pregnant-woman-with-noose
    Michael Pascoe writes that the Reserve Bank’s decision to leave official interest rates unchanged is understandable. But also perplexing and rather sad. It’s a triumph of hope over experience, an indication the RBA still preferences economic theory over real-world experience, he says.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/money/finance-news/2019/05/08/rba-confusion-over-rates-decision/
    Dave Donovan’s contribution today is headlined “PM Clown-boy and his travelling circus: Ten reasons why the show must not go on.”
    https://independentaustralia.net/politics/politics-display/pm-clown-boy-and-his-travelling-circus-ten-reasons-why-the-show-must-not-go-on,12657
    Mismanagement of the Murray Darling Basin has now reached such farcical proportions, it’s hard not to be reminded of Mark Twain’s edict “Truth is Stranger than Fiction”. How did this level of ineptitude, cock-ups, rorts and cronyism flourish unchecked for so long? Triskele examines the many angles of the Watergate scandal and reports.
    https://www.michaelwest.com.au/watergate-an-ecosystem-cultivated-for-sharks-wont-support-goldfish/
    Patrick Hatch with more on the fraught franchising scene.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/companies/coffee-king-s-new-job-buying-1m-worth-of-beans-a-year-from-himself-20190509-p51lo0.html
    Retailers are attempting to avoid a margin squeeze from higher wages by tightening rosters and cutting costs in stores.
    https://www.outline.com/RC6xS3
    This is quite an interesting article on what makes a bad manager.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/small-business/managers-from-hell-the-four-causes-20190509-p51llf.html
    John Elder explains that millions of people are walking around thinking they have Alzheimer’s disease – and they don’t. Unfortunately, this isn’t a good news story. What they have instead is a newly diagnosed form of dementia that mimics the symptoms of Alzheimer’s, but is caused by a different mechanism in the brain.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/life/wellbeing/2019/05/09/alzheimers-wrong-diagnosis/
    Trump said yesterday that the United States would raise tariffs on $US200 billion ($286 billion) of worth of Chinese goods on Friday morning (local time) and begin the process to tax nearly all of China’s imports as he accused Beijing of trying to “renegotiate” a trade deal.
    https://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/trump-says-china-tariffs-will-increase-as-trade-deal-hangs-in-the-balance-20190510-p51lv9.html
    The US Senate Intelligence Committee has subpoenaed the President’s son Donald Trump jnr to answer questions about his contacts with Russia, two congressional sources say. The panel wants to question Mr Trump jnr about testimony he gave in September 2017 that was subsequently contradicted in public testimony by former Trump attorney Michael Cohen, one of the sources said.
    https://thenewdaily.com.au/news/world/2019/05/09/trump-son-subpoena-russia/
    Trump’s America. Will it ever recover?
    https://www.smh.com.au/world/north-america/shoot-them-trump-laughs-off-a-supporters-demand-for-violence-against-migrants-20190509-p51luv.html
    The anti-choice movement has taken a sadistic turn in Georgia, where a new abortion ban, called HB 481, has just been signed by Governor Brian Kemp. Signed into law this Tuesday and due to take effect in 2020, the bill effectively bans abortion outright, declares foetuses to be persons with full legal rights and protections, and imposes prison sentences for women found guilty of aborting or attempting to abort their pregnancies.
    https://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2019/may/09/georgia-effective-abortion-ban-cruelty-anti-choice-movement
    At last! The AFL Footy Show has been axed just eight episodes into its new incarnation, Channel Nine announced late last night.
    https://www.theage.com.au/entertainment/tv-and-radio/nine-axes-the-footy-show-amid-poor-ratings-20190509-p51lur.html
    Here’s a nomination for a new award – “Idiot of the Week” and it goes to this vegan couple whose ignorant fanaticism has severely damaged their baby child.
    https://www.smh.com.au/national/nsw/toddler-fed-vegan-diet-so-malnourished-she-had-no-teeth-court-told-20190509-p51lrp.html

    Cartoon Corner

    David Rowe with Trump’s constitutional worries.

    David Pope on our erstwhile Environment Minister.

    Nice work from Cathy Wilcox.

    John Shakespeare and a particular ex-PM.

    From the ever-productive and much appreciated Matt Golding.







    Jim Pavlidis with another dig at Melissa Price.

    Simon Letch contrasts the two campaigns.

    Zanetti directs his scorn at the royals.

    Jon Kudelka and the dirt units.
    https://cdn.newsapi.com.au/image/v1/5022b4061979be360ed51cb85090babc?width=1024

    From the US





  28. Latest Liberal campaign stunt – impersonating old women.

    Dutton did the same thing in Dickson –

  29. My control group have gone very quiet on politics. Just checked in, and there’s a mention of the egg incident (Morrison, which I missed during my holiday from politics), Penny Wong refusing to shake whatsisname’s hand (apparently just awful, she doesn’t deserve to be a Senator tut tut tut) and someone whining that Shorten won’t release his costings on climate change policy and asking instead what the cost is if we do nothing. No takers for any of this stuff, no debate or anything. The thread has devolved into random bitter jibes from right wing types who hate Labor winning the battle of perception.

    Elsewhere, somebody mentioned that the high pre-polling figures don’t mean much, and that they only reflect rusted-ons getting in early. The idea being that the swing voters will all wait until the last minute to be persuaded one way or the other. I beg to differ. At least some of the action in this area is from people who want to tune out of this election entirely by getting their vote out of the way. A lot of politically-attuned people love to be there on election day, it’s the grand final of politics after all, and taking part is a major attraction. It’s people who don’t care much for politics who don’t feel a need to be there on the day. So I expect the early polling is a combination of disinteresteds and rusted-ons, not a preponderance of one over the other. Certainly the people I’ve spoken to are voting early just to get the thing out of the way, and they’ve swung around a bit with their votes in the past.

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